Sunday, August 28, 2016

Mostly Cloudy


The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Sunday, August 28, 2016
Skies will be mostly cloudy. There is a slight chance of scattered rain showers. Winds will be westerly in direction at 5 mph to 10 mph or less. Seas will be  calm at 1 to 3 ft or less.  The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.



 


The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - Weak ridge N of the area will support gentle to moderate E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas across most of the basin through Mon. An area of low pressure will move into the SE Gulf tonight...and may become a tropical depression in the E Gulf and turn N toward Big Bend of Florida during the next 3 to 4 days.
2. Caribbean Sea - Long period swell generated by Hurricane Gaston will propagate into the tropical waters N of 16N E of 60W through Mon. Gentle to moderate trade winds will prevail across most of the area through Mon. Fresh to strong trades developing over the S central Caribbean Mon night will persist through Thu.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. Hurricane Gaston is centered near 30.1N 54.6W at 28/0900 UTC or about 540 nm east of Bermuda moving northwest at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 80 kt with gusts to 100 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 60/75 nm of a line from 29N56W to 31N52W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are within 30/45 nm of a line from 27N57W to 30N53W.
3b. A 1009 mb low pressure is off the coast of Cuba near 24N80W with a surface trough extending from 26N79W through the low then across Cuba to 21N83W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from Andros Island to Cuba between 78W-80W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are from 19N-26N between 76W-81W and from 21N-25N between 81W-86W. This system has a medium chance of of tropical development over the next 48 hours. Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development today while this system moves westward through the Straits of Florida. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive when the low moves into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. Regardless of development, gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas and Cuba through tonight. These winds and rains will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys later today. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased during the past few hours in association with an area of low pressure located about 250 miles west of Bermuda centered near 31N69W. While environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, some additional development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 kt. As the low approaches the coast of North Carolina by mid-week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. This system has a medium chance of of tropical development over the next 48 hours.
4...Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends from 15N33W to 10N35W moving west near 15 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave is embedded within an area of dry stable air, thus no associated showers or convection.
4b. Tropical wave in the W Caribbean extends along 86W south of 20N to inland over Central America moving west near 10 kt over past 24 hours. Wave is embedded within an area of deep moisture. Scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms are from 18N to inland over Central America between 84W-87W.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun 
low tide  12:10 am LT                                    Sunrise – 5:34 am LT>80° East
high tide 5:54 am LT                                      Sunset – 6:02 pm LT < 280° NW
low tide 12:21 pm LT                                     Moon Rise – 02:08 pm LT<71° East
high tide 6:41 pm LT                                      Moon Set – 03:17 am LT>288º West
                                                                                                                                        
Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  12 hours, 28 minutes (-50s)

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