Tuesday, August 2, 2016

Again Partly Cloudy

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Tuesday August 02, 2016
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be westerly in direction at 5 mph to 15 mph. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 ft to 3ft or less.
The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC. Expect rain and strong winds tomorrow and Thursday, as 97L moves across the area, possibly as a tropical storm.
At 4:00am today, 97L was located at 16.3N 77.5W or about 600 miles E of the Bay Islands. It is moving W at about 20 mph.


Fig 1a - Invest 97L ir Satellite Image


The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A trough will move off the W coast of the Yucatan Peninsula each evening and dissipate in the SW Gulf each morning through Wed. High pressure will prevail elsewhere across the area through Wed. A strong tropical wave...possibly a tropical cyclone...is forecast to move across the SW Gulf Thu through Fri night before moving W of the area Sat.
2. Caribbean Sea - A strong tropical wave is moving through the central Caribbean with low pressure near 16N77W 1007 mb. Gale force winds prevail S of Jamaica. The low and associated gale force winds will shift westward during the next few of days before shifting West of the area Thu. There is a possibility that the low will develop into a tropical cyclone later today
3. Tropical Weather Outlook
3.1 Caribbean Gale Warning... A gale warning has been issued for the central Caribbean within 90 nm NE semicircle, and within 45 nm SW semicircle of 16.5N75W. Winds are 30 to 40 kt, and seas 9 to 14 ft. A closed cyclonic circulation at the surface is presently lacking, thus a tropical storm warning has not been issued at this time. The tropical wave is moving west across the Caribbean basin at 18 kt. The tropical wave extends from 23N75W to 10N75W. Numerous strong convection is mostly SE of Jamaica from 15N-18N between 74W-78W. Isolated moderate convection is elsewhere over Hispaniola, Cuba, and the NW Caribbean. The potential exists for a tropical storm to form within the next 48 hours. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us. Currently this system (97L) does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
Fig 3 - 97L Computer Models Forecast Tracks
Fig 3a - 97L Ensemble Tracks
 4. Tropical Waves...
4.1 Tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends from 16N21W to 06N22W moving west 15 to 20 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a 700 mb trough as depicted in the global models and is embedded within a low-amplitude surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water Imagery. Scattered moderate to strong convection is west of the wave axis from 08N-12N between 23W-29W.
4.2 Tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic extends from 18N39W to 07N41W moving west at 10 to 15 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave coincides with a 700 mb trough as depicted in the global models and is embedded within a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water Imagery. Isolated moderate convection is from 07N-12N between 36W-45W.

Fig 3b - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide  2:20 am LT                                              Sunrise – 5:29 am LT>71° East
high tide 8:15 am LT                                              Sunset – 6:17 pm LT < 288° NW
low tide 2:30 pm LT                                               Moon Rise – 05:12 am LT<74° East
high tide 8:51 pm LT                                              Moon Set – 06:14 pm LT>285º West
Fig 4 - Moon

No comments:

Post a Comment