Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Mostly Sunny with Light East Winds

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be light and easterly in direction at 10 mph this morning or less; increasing to 10 mph to 15 mph this afternoon and evening. Seas will be calm at 1 ft to 2 ft.
The air temperatures will range from the low to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 28ºC.
There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours.



Fig 2a – Today's Jetstream 






















Fig 20 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer 

The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Synopsis...The remnants of Danny S of Puerto Rico near 16N65.6W 1010 mb will continue to move to the NW while weakening to a trough. Tropical Storm Erika near 14.6N49.4W 1003 mb at 5 am EDT moving W at 17 kt. Maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt. Erika will move to 15.2N 51.9W this afternoon...16.0N 54.8W late tonight...16.9N 57.9W Wed afternoon...17.6N 61.0W late Wed night...19.3N 66.2W late Thu night...then will strengthen to a hurricane as it reaches 21.5N 71.0W late Fri night...then 24.0N 75.0W late Sat night.
All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should track these  systems as they move west towards us.
2. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has decreased in both density and area.


Fig 22a - Active  Atlantic Ocean Tropical Waves  

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability 
Results for Roatan, Bay Islands, Honduras (16.38N, 86.45W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 24.5N, 75.5W or about 902.7 miles (1452.7 km) from your location. This is corresponding with the120 hour position of the 5-day forecast (Sunday, August 30 at 11:00AM AST).
Just for 'fun'... If the storm would continue on this track, the extrapolated closest point (X-CPA) is estimated at 26.7N, 78.7W or about 863.5 miles (1389.6 km) from your location, where it can be in about 6 days, and 20 minutes from now (Monday, August 31 at 12:36PM AST, be aware that this location is not part of the official forecast and is prone to large errors).










Fig 24 - Tropical Storm Ericka's CPA to Roatan








high tide 4:49 am LT              Sunrise – 5:33 am LT>79° East
low tide 11:21 am LT             Sunset – 6:05 pm LT < 281° West
high tide 6:11 pm LT              Moon Rise – 2:32 pm LT> 109° East
low tide 11:57 pm LT             Moon Set – 1:19 am LT < 251° West

























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