The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

For tropical weather outlook go to: This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan 

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude 

In the

   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:

The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.

Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.

This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricane from a single web page. 

Thursday August 02, 2012

Skies will be partly sunny, with mid to high level clouds. Seas will be calm at 1 to 3 feet. Winds will range in strength from light during the day to moderate this evening. They will be from the ESE to ENE at 5 to 15 mph.

Fig 1 – Today's Wind Forecast    

Fig 2 - Today's Graphicast  

Fig 3 - Today's Tropical Surface Analysis

Fig 4 - Today's IR Water Vapor Image

Fig 5 - Today's Tropical Surface Forecast

The air temperatures will range from the low 80s (ºF) to the low 90s (ºF) or 26ºC to 32ºC.

Ocean water temperatures are 82 to 83ºF or 26 to 27ºC. Visibility is generally 20 to 80 feet.

The Tropical Weather Outlook

Invest 99L has strengthened and now is TD5. This system is still poorly organized and significant strengthening is not expected today. It is moving westward (280º) at 21 mph. Early this morning, TD5 was located at 12.9N, 53.5W or about 2200 miles, E by S (100º) of Roatan. Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph and the barometric pressure is 1008 mb. A Hurricane Hunter flight is scheduled for this afternoon.

TD5 may strengthen and become TS Ernesto over the weekend. Reliable computer models are not in good agreement about its intensification or future path as it moves west towards us. If it maintains its current path and direction, it should pass to the north of us late next Tuesday or Wednesday.

This system does not currently pose a threat to the Bay Islands and North Coast of Honduras, but all interests here, should monitor its progress as it proceeds west.

Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Fig 6 - Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity

Fig 7 - Today's NOAA Tropical Surface Analysis

Fig 8 - Today's Current Caribbean Surface Analysis

Fig 9 - Today's Saharan Air Layer

Fig 10 - TD5 Today's Distance and Position from Roatan

Fig 11 - NHC Today's 5 Day Forecast Track for TD5

Fig 12 - Today's  Wunderground 5 Day Forecast Track for TD5

Fig 13 - Today's Computer Model Runs by Wunderground

Fig 14 - Today's Computer Model runs for TD5 as seen on Google Earth

The Tides: Moon and Sun

low tide 2:45 am LT                   Moon Rise – 6:50 pm LT

high tide 8:41 am LT                   Moon Set – 5:51 am LT

low tide 2:50 pm LT                   Sunrise – 5:29 am LT

high tide 9:13 pm LT                   Sunset – 6:18 pm LT

Moon