Thursday, October 20, 2016

Partly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Thursday, October 20, 2016
Skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be light and variable in direction at 5 mph to 15 mph or less. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms today.
Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or less.  The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.




The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A ridge will retreat E today as a cold front approaches the NW Gulf...moving into the NW Gulf tonight. The cold front will race E reaching from Tampa Bay, FL to the SW Gulf on Fri night...passing through the Straits of Florida Sat night. Strong winds and building seas are possible behind the front off the coast of Tamaulipas and Veracruz, Mexico starting Fri...reaching minimal gale force Fri afternoon and night. High pressure will build in the wake of the front Sun through Mon night.
2. Caribbean Sea - A broad area of low pressure will persist across the SW Caribbean through early Sat. Northerly swells in the tropicaL N Atlantic and Atlantic/Caribbean passages will gradually decay through the end of the week. A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Sat night...stalling from the Windward Passage to eastern Honduras Sun...gradually dissipating early next week.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. An elongated non-tropical 1005 mb surface low is centered northeast of the central Bahamas near 26N73W. Scattered moderate convection and isolated tstms are from 20N to 30N between 56W and 76W. Showers associated with this low are also affecting Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for the low to acquire some tropical characteristics during the next day or so, and this system could still become a subtropical or tropical cyclone before it merges with a cold front over the western Atlantic late Friday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and portions of the northern Leeward Islands through today.
3b.  Gale force winds are expected to develop in the Gulf of Mexico Friday night associated with a cold front that will enter the NW waters of the Gulf early Friday morning. NW to N gale force winds are forecast for the area S of 25N W of the front with seas to 10 ft.
4.  ...Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 06N to 15N with axis near 39W, moving W at 15 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave continues in a region of unfavorable deep layer wind shear. However, CIRA LPW imagery from surface to 850 mb show the wave is in an abundant moist environment that along with divergent upper level wind flow support scattered moderate convection from 01N to 15N between 31W and 45W.


Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide 6:24 am LT                         Sunrise – 5:40 am LT>101° East
high tide 1:20 pm LT                       Sunset – 5:23 pm LT < 259° NW
low tide  7:28 pm LT                       Moon Rise – 9:57 pm LT<71° East
high tide 1:13 am LT                       Moon Set – 10:12 am LT>289º West
                                                                                                                                       
   
Fig 4 - Moon

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