Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Again Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms today. Winds will be light and westerly in direction at 5 mph to 20 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or less. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.




The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A remnant trough in the central Gulf will gradually dissipate through Tue. A ridge will build across the eastern U.S. into the NW Gulf Tue night through early Wed. Winds and seas will increase over the eastern Gulf Wed through Fri as Hurricane Matthew moves northward across the Bahamas and off or near the east coast of Florida. A new cold front may push into the NW Gulf by the end of the week...moving across the Gulf during the upcoming weekend.
2. Caribbean Sea - Hurricane Matthew near 16.9N 74.6W 934 mb at 11 pm EDT moving N at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds 125 kt with gusts to 150 kt. The center of Matthew will move to 18.3N 74.4W Tue morning...to 20.0N 74.4W Tue evening...to 21.8N 75.2W Wed morning...then near 23.4N 76.2W near the SE and central Bahamas Wed evening. Matthew will continue NW or N across the central and NW Bahamas as a hurricane through the end of the week crossing N of 30N late Fri. Much more tranquil conditions will prevail across the Caribbean Sea by the end of the week as Matthew exits the area. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks north and east of us. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. A 1012 mb surface low is centered near 23N60W that nearly coincides with a mid-level area of low pressure. This system has become better organized and has a medium chance of tropical development during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwest to northwest at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 20N-25N between 55W-60W.
4...Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave extends from 13N44W to 5N50W moving west 5 to 10 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave is moving through an area between two upper ridges enhancing clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong convection that covers the area from 7N-16N between 40W-56W.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun 
low tide  4:05 am LT                             Sunrise – 5:38 am LT>95° East
high tide 11:39 am LT                           Sunset – 5:34 pm LT < 265° NW
low tide 5:06 pm LT                              Moon Rise – 8:28 pm LT<104° East
high tide 9:53 pm LT                             Moon Set – 8:17 am LT>255º West
                                                                                                                                       

    
Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  11 hours, 56 minutes (-52s)

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