Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Again Partly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be light and variable in direction at 5 mph to 15 mph or less. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms today.
Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or less.  The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.




The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A ridge will persist across the northern Gulf through tonight...retreating E Thu as a cold front approaches the NW Gulf. The cold front will race E reaching from Tampa Bay, FL to the NW Yucatan Peninsula on Fri night and pass through the Straits of Florida Sat night. Strong winds and building seas are possible behind the front off the coast of Veracruz, Mexico starting Fri. High pressure will build down in the wake of the front Sun.
2. Caribbean Sea - A broad area of low pressure will persist across the SW Caribbean through the next several days. Large N swells across the tropical waters NE of the Leeward Islands will continue S through the NE Caribbean passages. These swells will continue to impact the northern coast of South America...gradually subsiding late in the week. A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean this weekend.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. A non-tropical 1004 mb surface low is centered northeast of the Turks and Caicos near 24N68W with a surface trough extending from 27N62W through the low center to 19N70W then SW across Hispaniola. A diffluent wind environment aloft generated by the upper trough that supports the low and upper ridging over the central Atlantic support numerous heavy showers and tstms from 20N to 25N between 62W and 65W and from 20N to 23N between 59W and 63W. Scattered heavy showers and tstms are also across Puerto Rico and adjacent waters from 14N to 20N between 63W and 69W. Scattered showers are elsewhere from 14N to 30N between 56W and 70W. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for this system to acquire some tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form within the next few days. The low is forecast to move northward to north-northwestward on Wednesday and Thursday, before turning north-northeastward and merging with a cold front over the western Atlantic by the weekend. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday. There is a medium chance of development over the next 48 hours.
4. ...Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic extending from 04N to 15N with axis near 32W, moving W at 10 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave continues in a region of unfavorable deep layer wind shear and CIRA LPW imagery from surface to 850 mb show pockets of dry air in the wave environment coinciding with enhanced Meteosat imagery. Shallow moisture and divergent middle level wind flow support scattered showers and isolated tstms from 01N to 15N between 23W and 44W.
Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide 5:08 am LT                          Sunrise – 5:40 am LT>100° East
high tide 12:00 pm LT                       Sunset – 5:24 pm LT < 259° NW
low tide  5:53 pm LT                         Moon Rise – 8:59 pm LT<71° East
high tide 11:31 pm LT                       Moon Set – 9:11 am LT>288º West
                                                                                                                                        
Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  11 hours, 43 minutes (-49s)

No comments:

Post a Comment