Sunday, October 9, 2016

Again Partly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Sunday, October 09, 2016
Skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be light and mostly easterly in direction at 5 mph to 10 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or less.  There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.

 

The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Gulf of Mexico - A cold front from northern Florida to the SW Gulf will move rapidly across the basin today and exit the forecast area by late tonight. NW winds in SW Gulf near the coast of Veracruz, Mexico will reach 25 kt tonight and remain gusty through mon morning...with seas building to 7-8 ft. A trough will develop over the western Gulf mon and drift west through Tue night. Easterly winds will prevail east of the trough through Wed.
2. Caribbean Sea - A series of tropical waves will move westward across the forecast area through Wed. A tropical wave south of Hispaniola along 70W will move into Central America Tue night. Another wave will reach the Lesser Antilles Mon morning and move across the eastern Caribbean through Tue night. A third wave in the central Atlantic will reach the Lesser Antilles Wed night. Showers and thunderstorms are expected near the Leeward Islands through Mon. A fast-moving cold front in the Gulf of Mexico will reach the NW Caribbean tonight...then become diffuse from central Cuba to Belize through Tue.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. Post-Tropical Cyclone Matthew is centered near 34.9N 75.1W at 09/0900 UTC or about 25 nm SE of Cape Hatteras North Carolina moving E at 12 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 65 kt with gusts to 80 kt. Numerous moderate convection is from 36N-42N between 70W-79W.
3b. Tropical Storm Nicole is centered near 24.3N 65.7W at 09/0900 UTC or about 480 nm S of Bermuda and remains nearly stationary. Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is from 20N-26N between 58W-68W.
4. ...Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave extends from 05N42W to 12N40W moving W at 15-20 kt. The wave coincides with subtle 700 mb troughing between 37W-44W and remains beneath westerly upper level flow. As a result...no significant convection is occurring with the wave at this time.
4b. Tropical wave extends from 08N56W to 16N51W moving W at 15 kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 49W-58W and abundant low-level moisture as noted on Total Precipitable Water imagery. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is from 08N-12N between 56W-59W. Isolated moderate convection is from 15N-18N between 46W-52W.
4c. Tropical wave extends from 10N72W to 18N69W moving W at 15 kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing over the central Caribbean Sea between 68W-53W...and a maximum in 850 mb relative vorticity along the wave axis near 15N. No significant convection is occurring with the wave at this time.
Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 3:22 pm LT                           Sunrise – 5:38 am LT>97° East
low tide  9:36 am LT                            Sunset – 5:30 pm LT < 263° NW
high tide 4:36 pm LT                           Moon Rise – 12:32 pm LT<108° East
low tide 10:27 pm LT                          Moon Set – 12:17 am LT>251º West
                                                                                                                                        

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  11 hours, 51 minutes (-52s)

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