Monday, September 5, 2016

Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Monday, September 05, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny.  Winds will be easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph or higher. Seas will be  moderate to rough at 2 to 4 ft. or higher. Divers should exercise caution exiting and entering the boats, especially on the afternoon dives.   The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.



The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A tropical wave will move W across the SW Gulf early this week...enhancing a late evening and overnight trough in the region. Elsewhere ridging over the eastern Gulf will maintain light to moderate winds and modest seas through late in the week.
2. Caribbean Sea - A strong and broad tropical wave entering the E Caribbean is delivering gale force winds...squalls and large waves to the NE Caribbean this morning. The tropical wave will gradually weaken as it moves through the central Caribbean by late Mon. The tropical wave will exit the W Caribbean by mid week just as a weaker tropical wave farther east approaches the eastern Caribbean.
3....Special Features...
3a. Post-tropical cyclone Hermine is centered near 37.9N 68.3W, about 255 nm SE of the eastern tip of Long Island. Hermine is moving northward, or 360 degrees, 3 knots. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 60 knots with gusts to 75 knots. Scattered moderate convection is mainly to the N of Hermine center from 38N to 43N between 60W and 75W. Hermine should remain near hurricane strength through tonight. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin by Tuesday morning. Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along the coast of southern New England through tonight. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion.
4. ...Tropical Waves...
4a. A tropical wave is over the central Atlc extending from 10N to 20N with axis near 38W, moving west at 10-15 kt within the last 24 hours. The wave is in a region of favorable deep layer wind shear from 10N to 20N, however continuous intrusion of Saharan dry air and dust to the wave environment is hindering convection at the time.
4b. A tropical wave is entering the Caribbean Sea. The wave extends from 10N to 19N with axis near 61W, moving W at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. A 1009 mb center of low pressure is associated with the wave, which is located near 15N61W and is expected to move NW to near 16N66W in less than 24 hours. Abundant moisture in the vicinity of the wave along with a diffluent environment aloft support heavy showers and isolated tstms from 14N to 18N between 60W and 63W. A gale warning is in effect for the Leeward Islands and adjacent waters through later this morning.
4c. A tropical wave moved to the Yucatan Peninsula, northern Central America and NE Pacific waters. The wave extends from 07N to 20N with axis near 90W, moving at 20 kt within the last 24 hours. The wave is in a favorable deep layer wind shear environment that along with diffluent flow aloft support isolated showers across the Yucatan Channel and Gulf of Honduras.
4b. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 52W/53W, from 18N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 KNOTS. A 1015 MB low pressure center is along the tropical wave near 14N. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 14N southward between 50W and 54W.
4c. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 81W/82W from 20N southward moving westward 10 to 15 Knots. The monsoon trough is along 10N in Costa Rica. Convective precipitation: scattered strong from 11N to 13N between 82W and 84W. rainshowers are possible elsewhere from 12N from 74W.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide  4:55 am LT                                      Sunrise – 5:35 am LT>83° East
high tide 12:23 am LT                                    Sunset – 5:56 pm LT < 277° NW
low tide 5:38 pm LT                                       Moon Rise – 08:58 pm LT<99° East
high tide 10:49 pm LT                                    Moon Set – 08:58 am LT>260º West

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours: 12 hours, 21 minutes (-51s)

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