Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Partly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Wednesday,  June 15, 2016
Skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph. Seas will be  moderate to rough  at 2 ft to 4 ft or higher. Divers should exercise caution exiting and entering the boats and CCV Front Yard, especially on the afternoon and night dives.
The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.



The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. A tropical wave currently along 81W will pass W through the Bay of Campeche on Fri night into Sat. A ridge will meander from the Florida Straits to NE Texas through Fri night. A weak cold front will move into the NE Gulf of Mexico  waters on Sat morning and stall along 27N on Sun.
2. A tropical wave will pass through the far SW Caribbean today and through the Gulf of Honduras on Thu. A second tropical wave along 65W will skirt W along the N coast of S America through Thu night...and then continue W across the far SW Caribbean on Fri into Sat. Strong easterly trades will continue across the central Caribbean through Thu night...then increase to strong again on Sat night. Strong E winds will develop again on Sat night across the Gulf of Honduras.
3. Environmental conditions could favor the formation of a broad area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche when a westward moving tropical wave reaches the area later this weekend. Some slight development of this low is possible on Sunday or Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
4. ...TROPICAL WAVES...
 4a. Tropical wave extends from 07N19W to 12N20W moving W at 15 kt. The wave coincides with a 700 mb low noted in global model fields in the vicinity of 06N24W and a maximum in 850 mb relative vorticity along the wave axis near 07N. A weak 1016 mb surface low is centered at the southern extent of the wave axis and was noted in as earlier scatterometer pass around 14/2214 UTC. Scattered moderate convection is west of the wave from 02N-08N between 24W- 30W.
 4b.  Tropical wave extends from 06N45W to 13N41W moving W at 20 kt. The wave remains embedded within the ITCZ and coincides with broad 700 mb troughing between 39W-47W. Isolated moderate convection is from 07N-10N between 42W-47W.
 4c. Tropical wave extends from 02N68W to 10N68W moving W at 20 kt. The wave remains across inland western Venezuela and eastern Colombia on the southern periphery of a mid-level ridge anchored near 21N62W. Isolated moderate convection is from 04N-10N between 67W-72W.
 4d. Tropical wave extends from 06N81W to 15N81W moving W at 15 kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing over the SW Caribbean Sea between 78W-84W. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N- 16N between 75W-84W.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun 
high tide 5:12 am LT                                                                    Sunrise – 5:16 am LT>65° East
low tide 11:53am LT                                                                    Sunset – 6:20 pm LT < 295° NW
high tide 6:48 pm LT                                                                    Moon Rise – 2:30 pm LT<100° East
low tide 12:26 am LT                                                                   Moon Set – 1:48 am LT>262º West
Fig 4 - Moon

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