The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Today, skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be light and easterly in direction at 8 mph to 12 mph this morning; increasing to 15 mph to 20 mph this afternoon and evening. Seas will be choppy to rough at 2 to 4 feet. The air temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located several hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Gonzalo, located very near the Leeward Islands.
2. Tropical Storm Gonzalo near 16.8N 60.9W 1000 mb at 5 am AST moving W at 9 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Gonzalo will move to 17.4N 62.5W this afternoon...18.6N 64.3W late tonight...20.2N 65.8W Tue afternoon while strengthening to a hurricane...21.5N 67.0W late Tue night...moving well away from the Caribbean and tropical N Atlantic thereafter. Otherwise...moderate to locally fresh trades will diminish to gentle to moderate by the middle of the week through Fri night. A weak cold front will slip SE of the Yucatan Channel Wed...stalling and becoming diffuse through Thu.
3.Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
4. A cold front will move off the Texas coast Mon evening...quickly reaching from the Alabama/Florida border to La Punta de Cabo Rojo, Mexico early Tue morning then gradually weakening from near Cape Coral ,Florida to the N central Yucatan Peninsula Wed morning...pushing just SE of the area while becoming diffuse through Thu. Gale force winds are possible behind the front near the coast of Veracruz, Mexico Tue afternoon and night.
Gonzalo Forms Near Lesser Antilles; Hudhud Blasts India; Fay Lashes Bermuda
Figure 1. MODIS satellite image of Tropical Gonzalo taken at approximately 12 pm EDT October 12, 2014, as the storm was forming. Image credit: NASA.
Figure 2. Martinique radar image of Tropical Gonzalo taken at 3:15 pm EDT October 12, 2014. Image credit: Meteo France.
Fay brings winds near hurricane force to Bermuda
Tropical Storm Fay is accelerating to the northeast, out to sea, after battering Bermuda with winds close to hurricane force. Sustained winds at the Bermuda Airport reached 61 mph, with a gust to 82 mph, at 7:34 am local time Sunday morning. The airport recorded 1.85" of rain from the storm as of noon on Sunday. Fay will be absorbed by a cold front on Monday and die, without affecting any other land areas. The construction on Bermuda is the best of any island in the Atlantic to handle hurricane-force winds, and I expect damage on the island will be minor.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
high tide 12:22 am LT Moon Rise – 10:09 pm LT
low tide 5:41 am LT Moon Set –10:26 am LT
high tide 12:42 pm LT Sunrise – 5:39 am LT
low tide 6:46 pm LT Sunset – 5:28 pm LT
low tide 5:41 am LT Moon Set –10:26 am LT
high tide 12:42 pm LT Sunrise – 5:39 am LT
low tide 6:46 pm LT Sunset – 5:28 pm LT
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