The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Saturday, October
25, 2014
Today, skies will be
mostly cloudy. Winds will be NW - NNW in direction at 15 mph to 30
mph or higher. Seas
will be choppy at 2 to 4 feet. The air temperatures will range from
the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to
26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC.
Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
There is a chance of
scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, as a cold front
moves over the NW Caribbean.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
1. A broad trough of low pressure over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea is associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression
Nine. This system is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, and redevelopment, if any, will be slow to occur
while the trough meanders for the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. A cold front from NW Cuba to Belize will continue E
stalling from E Cuba to NE Honduras tonight. Low pressure is
expected to develop near 17N81W Early Sun...then move W across the
Gulf of Honduras on Mon and Tue...and weaken as it moves inland on
the Yucatan Peninsula on Tue night. The low will drag remnants of
the front W across the NW Caribbean on Mon through Wed. A tropical
wave along 70W will lose identity over the W Caribbean on Sun and
Mon. A second tropical wave will move W across tropical N Atlantic
waters tonight tonight and Sun...and pass through the E Caribbean on
Mon-Tue...reaching the central Caribbean on Wed. A third tropical
wave will reach the tropical Atlantic waters on Mon night and
Tue...and enter the E Caribbean on Wed.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 26 - Storm Statistics 94L
low tide 2:48 am LT Moon Rise – 7:10 am LT
high tide 9:45 am LT Moon Set –7:00 pm LT
low tide 3:41 pm LT Sunrise – 5:42 am LT
high tide 8:41 pm LT Sunset – 5:21 pm LT
high tide 9:45 am LT Moon Set –7:00 pm LT
low tide 3:41 pm LT Sunrise – 5:42 am LT
high tide 8:41 pm LT Sunset – 5:21 pm LT
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