Again, Mostly Sunny with Moderate Winds and Seas

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:

The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.

Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.

This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.

In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

2014 Hurricane Outlook and Forecasts

The hurricane season in this hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.

During that time frame, for your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical Weather Outlook".

It will contain the daily tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).

NOAA predicts near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.

El Niño is expected to develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.

This year, the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21, 2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL, a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm formation may increase.

The outlook calls for a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season.  For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).

These numbers are near or below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.

Wednesday,  October 01, 2014
Today, skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be light and mostly easterly in direction at 5 mph to 10 mph this morning; increasing to 15 mph to 20 mph this afternoon and evening.. Seas will be moderate at 1 to 3 feet.
The air temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC.
Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.

 Fig 1 - Today's Wind and Weather Forecast

 Fig 2 - Today's Weather Forecast CONUSA

 Fig 3 - 24 Hour Forecast CONUSA

 Fig 4 - 3 Day Forecast CONUSA

Fig 5 - Today's 26ºC/78.8ºF Isotherm

Fig 6 - Today's 20ºC/68ºF Isotherm

Fig 7 - Today's Ocean Heat Content

 Fig 8 - Today's Graphicast

 Fig 9 - Today's Caribbean Satellite Image

 Fig 10 - Today's Caribbean Rainbow Loop

 Fig 11 - Today's Tropical Surface Analysis

Fig 12 - Today's NOAA Gulf of Mexico and W. Caribbean Surface Analysis 

Fig 13 - Today's Satellite Water Vapor Image

Fig 13a - Atlantic Satellite Image

 Fig 14 - Today's Enhanced Infrared Satellite Image

 Fig 15 - Today's Tropical Surface Forecast

 Fig 16 - Today's NOAA Tropical Atlantic Surface Analysis

 Fig 17 - Today's Saharan Air Layer

 Fig 18 - Today's Saharan Air Layer_Pseudo Natural Color

Fig 19 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer

Fig 20 - SSMI/SSMIS/TMI-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

The Tropical Weather Outlook

1. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
2. A tropical wave will enter the tropical N Atlantic waters today then enter the E Caribbean Thursday evening...reach the central Caribbean Friday evening...and move through the W Caribbean Saturday night through early Sunday. Fresh to strong trade winds are expected over the central Caribbean with gentle to moderate trades elsewhere...except for a fresh to strong breeze in the Gulf of Honduras each night tonight through Friday night.
3. A strong cold front will move SE off the Texas coast Friday morning and extend from the Florida Panhandle to upper Mexican coast Friday night. The front will lie from SW Florida to near Tampico, Mexico by late Saturday...where W portions of the front will stall...then lift across NW Gulf of Mexico and Texas coast on Sunday...while E portions will drift SE across SE Gulf and into Straits of Florida Sunday.
4. The Saharan Air Layer continues to slowly expand in size.

 Fig 21 - Graphical 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook

 Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook

  Fig 22 - Active Tropical Atlantic Storms

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability

The Tides: Moon and Sun

high tide 1:57 am LT                  Moon Rise – 11:59 am LT
low tide 8:42 am LT                   Moon Set –11:40 pm LT
high tide 3:50 pm LT                  Sunrise – 5:37 am LT
low tide 9:38 pm LT                   Sunset – 5:37 pm LT

Moon