Mostly Cloudy with Fresh Northerly Winds

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:

The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.

Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.

This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.

In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

2014 Hurricane Outlook and Forecasts

The hurricane season in this hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.

During that time frame, for your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical Weather Outlook".

It will contain the daily tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).

NOAA predicts near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.

El Niño is expected to develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.

This year, the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21, 2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL, a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm formation may increase.

The outlook calls for a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season.  For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).

These numbers are near or below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.

Sunday, November 02, 2014

Today, skies will be mostly cloudy. Winds will be fresh and NE to NNE in direction at 15 mph to 25 mph . Seas will be choppy to rough at 2 to 4 feet. The air temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.

There is a chance of scattered, heavy rain showers and isolated thunderstorms.

With wind chill, it will feel like the mid 60s F, especially when exiting the water.

There is a thermocline at 10ft. to 15 ft.

 Fig 1 - Today's Wind and Weather Forecast

 

 Fig 1a - This Week's Wind and Weather Forecast

Fig 1b - Today's Forecasted Wind Speeds in the NW Caribbean Sea

 Fig 2 - Today's Weather Forecast CONUSA

   Fig 3 - 24 Hour Forecast CONUSA

 Fig 4 - 3 Day Forecast CONUSA

Fig 5 - Today's 26ºC/78.8ºF Isotherm

Fig 6 - Today's 20ºC/68ºF Isotherm

Fig 7 - Today's Ocean Heat Content

 Fig 8 - Today's Graphicast

 Fig 9 - Today's Caribbean Satellite Image

 Fig 10 - Today's Caribbean Rainbow Loop

 Fig 11 - Today's Tropical Surface Analysis

Fig 12 - Today's NOAA Gulf of Mexico and W. Caribbean Surface 

Fig 13 - Today's Satellite Water Vapor Image

Fig 13a - Atlantic Satellite Image

 Fig 14 - Today's Enhanced Infrared Satellite Image

Fig14a Today's North American Surface Temperature Contour Map

 Fig 15 - Today's Tropical Surface Forecast

 Fig 16 - Today's NOAA Tropical Atlantic Surface Analysis

 Fig 17 - Today's Saharan Air Layer

 Fig 18 - Today's Saharan Air Layer_Pseudo Natural Color

Fig 19 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer

Fig 20 - SSMI/SSMIS/TMI-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

The Tropical Weather Outlook

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1.0 Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
2.0 A strong cold front moving into the NW Caribbean will merge with a stationary front and stall from the Windward passage to E Honduras through late today...then become diffuse through mid week. High pressure building N of the area behind the front will allow strong NW flow and building seas over much of the W Caribbean through Tue. Winds and seas will diminish across the basin Wed and Thu as the high pressure weakens. NW swell to 8 ft will move into the area E of the Leeward Islands Mon through Wed.

 Fig 21 - Graphical 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook

 Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook

  Fig 22 - Active Tropical Atlantic Storms

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability

The Tides: Moon and Sun

high tide 5:16 am LT                Moon Rise –2:12 pm LT
low tide 11:24 am LT               Moon Set –1:32 am LT
high tide 5:17 pm LT                Sunrise – 5:44 am LT
low tide 11:43 pm LT               Sunset – 5:17 pm LT

Moon