Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Tuesday July 26, 2016
Skies will be  partly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph or higher. Seas will be  moderate to rough  at 2 ft to 4 ft or higher.. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours.
The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.


The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Gulf of Mexico - An upper level low over the N central Gulf will continue to enhance convection across the northern and central Gulf through Tue night. High pressure ridging over the Atlantic will build westward across the northern Gulf Tue night through Sat night. A trough will move off the W coast of the Yucatan Peninsula each evening with locally fresh NE winds.
2. Caribbean Sea - High pressure NE of the area will maintain fresh to strong trades over the S central Caribbean through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend. A tropical wave will move from the tropical N Atlantic to across the Lesser Antilles late tonight into early Tue...reaching the central Caribbean Wed... and the W Caribbean Thu. A second wave will reach the tropical N Atlantic Fri night...then the E Caribbean Sat and Sat night.
3. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
4. Tropical Waves...
4a.A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic from 09N-19N with axis near 21W, forecast to move at 15 kt within the next 24 hours. Meteosat composite imagery show Saharan dry air and dust engulfing the northern wave environment. A surge of moderate moist air from surface to 850 mb and divergent flow in the middle to upper levels support a cluster of moderate to strong convection from 10N-12N between 18W and 23W.
4b. A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic from 08N-18N with axis near 33W, moving west at 10 kt within the last 24 hours. CIRA LPW imagery show moderate moist from the surface to 850 mb associated with this wave and global model guidance show a low at 700 mb coinciding with the wave axis location. Even with a divergent environment at the upper levels, the presence of Saharan dry air and dust seems to hinder convection at the time.
4c. A tropical wave is in the far eastern Caribbean from 10N-22N with axis near 62W, moving west at 20 kt within the last 24 hours. The wave is associated with shallow moisture, which is is supporting scattered showers and tstms across the Virgin Islands, eastern Puerto Rico and adjacent waters. Isolated showers are possible across the Lesser Antilles.
5.ITCZ/Monsoon Trough... The Monsoon Trough begins west of a tropical wave near 12N22W and continues to 11N33W to 08N46W. The ITCZ begins near 08N46W and continues to 08N58W. Besides the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is from 03N-10N between 24W and 44W.
Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 1:43 am LT                                                  Sunrise – 5:27 am LT>70° East
low tide 8:39 am LT                                                   Sunset – 6:20 pm LT < 290° NW
high tide 3:31` pm LT                                                 Moon Rise – 11:44 am LT<79° East
low tide  9:18 pm LT                                                  Moon Set – 11:38 pm LT>279º West
Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  12 hours, 52 minutes  (-35s)

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