Friday, June 13, 2014

Again Sunny and Windy_ Tonight is Full Moon

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea


             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

2014 Hurricane Outlook and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).

NOAA predicts near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21, 2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL, a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season.  For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.

Friday, June 13, 2014
Again today, skies will be partly sunny and occasionally hazy. Winds will be easterly in direction at 10 mph to 15 mph this morning; increasing to 20 mph to 25 mph or higher this afternoon and evening. Seas will be choppy at 2 to 4 feet or higher.
Divers should exercise caution exiting and entering the boats, especially on the afternoon dives.
Winds and seas are now forecast to remain at this strength or higher through the beginning of next week. For more details, see the weekly weather forecast posted else where in the resort or go to: http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/isla_de_roatan
There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours.
The air temperatures will range from the low to mid 70s (ºF) to the low to mid 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC.
Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.








 



 






 Fig 19 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer


The Tropical Weather Outlook
There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.
Tropical wave along 81W will move inland across Central America late Friday. A second large tropical wave along 58W will move W across the tropical N Atlantic waters today, reaching the Windward Islands late Friday...then will pass through the E Caribbean Saturday...and pass through the central Caribbean Sunday. Then it will move W-NW across the W Caribbean on Monday and Tuesday. A third tropical wave in central Atlantic along 39W will move across tropical N Atlantic waters Saturday and move into SE Caribbean Sunday.




low tide 2:47 am LT            Moon Rise – 6:58 pm LT
high tide 8:07 am LT           Moon Set – 5:42 am LT
low tide 2:48 pm LT            Sunrise – 5:15 am LT
high tide 9:39 pm LT           Sunset – 6:19 pm LT

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