The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Wednesday, October
29, 2014
Today, skies will be
partly cloudy. Winds will be light and variable in direction at 5
mph to 10 mph or less. Seas
will be moderate to calm at 1 to 3 feet. The air temperatures will
range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or
24ºC to 26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC
to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
There is a chance of
scattered heavy rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, as a low
pressure system continues to move slowly out of the area and west of
us.
Not Available Today
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
1. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level
trough is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple
of hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
Upper-level winds are currently marginally conducive, and some slow
development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple
of days while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to
15 mph. Afterwords, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable
for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30
percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30
percent.
2. A low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical
Storm Hanna, is moving inland over Belize while it produces
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Now that the low is moving
inland, significant re-development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0
percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0
percent.
3. A tropical wave over the E Caribbean will continue W
through the central Caribbean on Wed and Thu and lose identity in
the W Caribbean on Fri. Weak low pres near 19N62W will move to near
19N65W tonight...near 20N67W Thu night and near 20N69W Fri night
with the possibility of tropical cyclone formation throughout the
period. A strong dry cold front will move into the NW
Caribbean on Fri night...reach from the Windward Passage
to NE Nicaragua on Sat night...reach from the Mona Passage to NW
Costa Rica on Sun night with fresh N winds spreading across
the Caribbean in its wake.
4. A cold front will move into the N Gulf of Mexico
today and reach from the Florida Big Bend to 25N86W on Thu. A
stronger cold front will move into the N central and NE Gulf of
Mexico on Fri night and move SE of the area Sat night with high
pressure building down from its wake through Sun night.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 24 - Forecast Track Invest 95L
Fig 26 - Storm Statistics 95L
high
tide 12:08 am LT Moon Rise –10:50 am LT
low
tide 6:56 am LT Moon Set –10:33 pm LT
high
tide 2:12 pm LT Sunrise – 5:43 am LT
low
tide 8:11 pm LT Sunset – 5:19 pm LT
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