The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Sunday, October 26,
2014
Today, skies will be
mostly cloudy. Winds will be NNW - N in direction at 15 mph to 20
mph or higher through early Tuesday. Seas
will be choppy to rough at 2 to 4 feet or higher. The air
temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to
high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 82°F
to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft. With wind
chill, it will feel like the mid to high 60s F, especially when exiting the
water.
There is a chance of
scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, as a cold front
coupled with an area of low pressure drifts over the NW Caribbean.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
1. An elongated area of low pressure over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with the remnants of
Tropical Depression Nine and a cold front. This system is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and redevelopment, if any,
should be slow to occur while the disturbance drifts southward and
then westward over the next few days close to the coast of Honduras.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. A cold front extends SW from E Cuba into a
developing 1008 mb surface low near 16N82W. The low will meander
tonight then move W across the Gulf of Honduras on Mon and Tue and
inland into the Yucatan Peninsula on Tue night. The low will drag
remnants of the front W across the NW Caribbean. A tropical wave
along 76W will lose its identity tonight. A Tropical wave will move
W through the tropical Atlantic waters S of 15N today...move through
the E Caribbean on Mon and Tue...reaching the central Caribbean on
Wed and Thu. A third tropical wave will pass through the tropical
Atlantic waters S of 18N on Mon night and Tue...and pass through the
E Caribbean on Wed and Thu.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 26 - Storm Statistics 94L
low tide 3:30 am LT Moon Rise – 8:05 am LT
high tide 10:37 am LT Moon Set –7:49 pm LT
low tide 4:35 pm LT Sunrise – 5:42 am LT
high tide 9:30 pm LT Sunset – 5:21 pm LT
high tide 10:37 am LT Moon Set –7:49 pm LT
low tide 4:35 pm LT Sunrise – 5:42 am LT
high tide 9:30 pm LT Sunset – 5:21 pm LT
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