The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Sunday, October 12,
2014
Today, skies will be
partly sunny. Winds will be light and easterly in direction at 5 mph
to 12 mph. Seas
will be calm to choppy at 1 to 4 feet. The air temperatures will
range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or
24ºC to 26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC
to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
There is a chance of
scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during
the early morning, late night hours as a tropical wave continues to
move across the area.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located just south of Bermuda.
2. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands continue to show signs of organization. Although dry air may hamper development, the overall environment is expected to be generally conducive, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so. The low is forecast to move westward at around 10 mph, and interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor its progress. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to move across the Leeward Islands starting later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.
3. A tropical wave along 57W from 12N to 20N is moving WNW at 11 kt with a 1010 mb low along the wave near 17N57W. The low is expected to gradually become organized...possibly into a tropical cyclone...as it moves WNW across the tropical N Atlantic through today...across the Leeward Islands tonight into Mon...and near Puerto Rico and the Mona Passage later during Mon and Mon night. The low is expected to turn NW and reach the waters NE of the SE Bahamas Wed and Thu.
4. A cold front will move off the Texas coast Mon evening...quickly reaching from the Alabama/Florida border to La Punta de Cabo Rojo, Mexico early Tue morning then gradually weakening from near Cape Coral ,Florida to the N central Yucatan Peninsula Wed morning...pushing just SE of the area while becoming diffuse through Thu. Gale force winds are possible behind the front near the coast of Veracruz, Mexico Tue afternoon and night.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
low tide 5:41 am LT Moon Rise – 9:17 pm LT
high tide 12:42 pm LT Moon Set –9:32 am LT
low tide 6:46 pm LT Sunrise – 5:39 am LT
high tide 12:22 am LT Sunset – 5:29 pm LT
high tide 12:42 pm LT Moon Set –9:32 am LT
low tide 6:46 pm LT Sunrise – 5:39 am LT
high tide 12:22 am LT Sunset – 5:29 pm LT
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