The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Monday,
August 25, 2017
Today,
skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be very light and variable in
direction at 5 mph or less. Seas
will be calm at 1 to 3 feet or less. There is a very slight chance of
scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during
the early morning, late night hours.
The
air temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid
to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC. It will feel much warmer then
this with little or no wind. Expect these weather conditions to
prevail through midday Wednesday
Ocean
water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility
is 20 to 80 ft.
Not Available Today
Not Available Today
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Not Available Today
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
1. Invest 93L - Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure in the southern Bay of Campeche has become better defined. Although the associated showers and thunderstorms are currently not well organized, this system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone during the next day or so while it moves slowly eastward toward the western Yucatan Peninsula. Later in the week, the low is forecast to interact and possibly merge with a frontal system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Interests in the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
2. Fresh to occasionally strong E to SE winds are expected across the NW Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras through Wed. Invest 93L, a low pressure system in the SW Gulf of Mexico is forecast to move E and enter the W Caribbean on Fri...possibly as a tropical cyclone...and slowly move SE. A cold front will pass through the Yucatan Channel by Sat and extend from central Cuba to Belize Sat night. A tropical wave will enter the tropical N Atlantic on Wed...the E Caribbean by Thu...the central Caribbean by Fri...and the W Caribbean Sat.
Gulf of Mexico's 93L a Heavy Rain Threat
The prospects of 93L developing into a damaging hurricane are very low, and this storm is primarily a heavy rain threat. However, both the GFS and European models show the possibility that the trough of low pressure expected to pick up 93L and pull it northeastwards out to sea this weekend may leave behind an area of spin in the Western Caribbean early next week that would potentially have the capability to develop into a more dangerous tropical cyclone than 93L. It's too early to be sold on this model solution yet, but we should pay attention to the evolution of this storm system over the coming week.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 26 - Storm Statistics 93L
low tide 12:44 am LT Moon Rise – 3:45 am LT
high tide 7:25 am LT Moon Set –4:09 pm LT
low tide 1:06 pm LT Sunrise – 5:41 am LT
high tide 6:42 pm LT Sunset – 5:23 pm LT
high tide 7:25 am LT Moon Set –4:09 pm LT
low tide 1:06 pm LT Sunrise – 5:41 am LT
high tide 6:42 pm LT Sunset – 5:23 pm LT
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