The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Monday, October 20,
2014
Today, skies will be
partly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction at 5 mph to 10
mph; increasing to 15 mph to 20 mph this afternoon and evening. Seas
will be calm to choppy at 1 to 4 feet. The air temperatures will
range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or
24ºC to 26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC
to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
There is a very slight
chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms,
especially during the early morning, late night hours.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
1. A broad area of low pressure located over the
extreme southwestern Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system
is possible during the next several days while it moves eastward to
east-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30
percent.
2. A large non-tropical low is located over the far
eastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores.
This system is producing gale-force winds and could gradually
acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next few days
while it moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30
percent.
3. Fresh to occasionally strong E to SE winds are
expected across the NW Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras tonight
through Wed. Otherwise...gentle to moderate trades will prevail
across the Caribbean waters through the forecast period. A tropical
wave will enter the tropical N Atlantic waters W of 55W on Tue...the
E Caribbean Wed...and the central Caribbean Thu and Fri.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
low
tide 12:19 am LT Moon Rise – 2:57 am LT
high
tide 6:52 am LT Moon Set –3:21 pm LT
low
tide 12:35 pm LT Sunrise – 5:41 am LT
high
tide 6:21 pm LT Sunset – 5:23 pm LT
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