Roatan Weather for Thursday, Sept. 30, 2010

The Roatan Weather Forecast
As presented by 

CoCoView Resort 

http://www.cocoviewresort.com/

For information or reservations call 800-282-8932 

http://www.roatan.com/ 

 CoCoView is located

at

16.3°N Latitude x 86.5°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea

and

Radio Roatan, FM 101

 

For Thursday, Sept 30, 2010

Today, it will be partly sunny. The winds will initially be light and variable. They will 

gradually shift to the NW as a surface trough moves over us from the north. 

Expect wind and seas to increase locally with the trough’s passage. The trough will 

move SE, later today. It will continue moving south through Sunday. 

Seas will be calm to moderate at 1 to 4 feet. Rain and thunderstorms maybe 

numerous along the leading edge of the trough. Expect these weather conditions to 

prevail through the weekend.

Else where in the tropics

There are two areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic Ocean. Development, 

if any, of these systems is expected to be slow to occur as they move westward. 

There is a low chance that either of them will become a tropical cyclone during 

the next 48 hours.

The air temperatures will be in the mid to high 80s (F) or 27 - 29 (C).

Ocean water temperatures are about 85F to 87F or 29C to 30C.

The tides:                                                                                Moon and Sun

high tide | 1:26 am LT                                                          Moon Rise – 11:15 pm LT

low tide | 8:30 am LT                                                           Moon Set – 11:48 am LT

high tide | 3:41 pm LT                                                         Sunrise - 5:37 am LT

low tide |9:26 am LT                                                            Sunset - 5:38 pm LT

 

Roatan Weather for Wednesday, Sept. 29, 2010

The Roatan Weather Forecast
As presented by 

CoCoView Resort 

http://www.cocoviewresort.com/

For information or reservations call 800-282-8932 

http://www.roatan.com/ 

 CoCoView is located

at

16.3°N Latitude x 86.5°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea

and

Radio Roatan, FM 101

 

For Wednesday, Sept 29, 2010

Our weather is being dominated by Tropical Depression 16. TD16 is expected 

to strengthen into a tropical storm before crossing Cuba and making landfall in 

Southern Florida. 

Today, it will be mostly cloudy with rain. It will gradually clear as TD16 continues 

to move north. The winds will be W to NW at 10 to 15 mph and gusting. 

Seas are choppy at 2 to 4 feet. Winds and seas locally higher near squalls 

and thunderstorms. (See Figs. 1, 2, & 3 below - click on the links to update)

Else where in the tropics

A tropical wave over the central Atlantic located about 975 miles east of the 

Windward Islands is producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Development, 

if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur as it moves westward to 

west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this 

system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. (See Fig 4 below)

The air temperatures will be in the mid to high 80s (F) or 27 - 29 (C).

Ocean water temperatures are about 85F to 87F or 29C to 30C.

The tides:                                                                                Moon and Sun

low tide | 7:13 am LT                                                            Moon Rise – 10:20 pm LT

high tide | 2:54 pm LT                                                           Moon Set – 10:53 am LT

low tide | 8:24 pm LT                                                            Sunrise - 5:37 am LT

high tide |1:26 am LT                                                             Sunset - 5:38 pm LT

Fig 1 - TD 16_100929

Tropical Atlantic -water vapor loop

Fig 2 -TD16, predicted Track_100929

 

TD 16 - Projected Track

Fig 3 - Tropical Weather Outlook_100928

TAFB - Experimental Graphicast

Fig 4 - Tropical Storm System Location_100929

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

 

96L now TD16

The NHC upgraded 96L to a tropical depression at 9am LT today.

It does not really pose a threat to us, as it is tracking NNE away from us at 10mph.

It was centered about 400 miles NNE of  Roatan.

It is expected to continue in this direction, passing over Cuba and parts of Florida,

before continuing up the East Coast of the USA. Presently, maximum sustained winds are 35mph.

Minimum central pressure is 1000mb. It is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm

later today.

Interests on the north side of the Bay Islands could experience an increase in winds

and seas.

Roatan Weather Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 28, 2010

The Roatan Weather Forecast
As presented by 

CoCoView Resort 

http://www.cocoviewresort.com/

For information or reservations call 800-282-8932 

http://www.roatan.com/ 

 CoCoView is located

at

16.3°N Latitude x 86.5°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea

and

Radio Roatan, FM 101

 

For Tuesday, Sept 28, 2010

 Today, rain with intermittent periods of sun.The clouds will be mid to high level.

The winds will be light and variable. Mostly southerly at 5 to 10 mph or less. 

Seas are moderate at 1 to 3 feet. Winds and seas may increase later.

The large low pressure system which has formed over the Western Caribbean (Fig 1)

 is now given a 80% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 

48 hours.(Fig 3)  It has been designated 96L. Early this morning, it was located at 

19.N x 85W or about 211 miles NNE of us. (Fig 2) It has been drifting rather 

erratically north of us. (Fig 4) It is forecast to resume moving north across Cuba.(Fig 5)

In the meantime, a cold front is moving across the Gulf of Mexico and is forecast to 

reach the Yucatan Peninsula early Tuesday. (Fig 1) If this front is strong enough to push 

further south, we should see more rain and northerly winds later on Tuesday or 

Wednesday.

A second low pressure area is forecast to develop in the Western Caribbean on 

Friday.

All interests in the Bay Islands should monitor the status of these systems.

Remember, we still have October and November to go before the hurricane

season is over and ocean temperatures remain at historic highs.

The air temperatures will be in the mid to high 80s (F) or 27 - 29 (C).

Ocean water temperatures are about 85F to 87F or 29C to 30C.

The tides:                                                                                Moon and Sun

low tide | 5:47 am LT                                                            Moon Rise – 9:24 pm LT

high tide | 1:41 pm LT                                                           Moon Set – 9:57 am LT

low tide | 6:51 pm LT                                                            Sunrise - 5:37 am LT

high tide |10:57 pm LT                                                          Sunset - 5:39 pm LT

  

 

Coral Spawning Alert

There is a low probability that another coral spawn will occur for the next three (3) nights, Tues., Sept. 28 thru Thurs., Sept. 30, 2010.

Coral spawning was observed here in August during a similar time frame.  Brittle stars, sea cucumbers and sponges were also observed spawning on nights when the coral spawned.

A coral spawn has been predicted for Bonaire for this month.

To the best of my knowledge spawning events have not been observed and reported for the month of September in the Bay Islands.

The most likely times for it to occur are between 8pm and Midnight, when the tide has peaked and is beginning to go out.

See the tide times on the daily weather reports.

Please try to note the depth, water temperature and species, if you observe any spawning behavior.

I would appreciate receiving any photos or observations made.

Thank you,

Doc Radawski

Fig 1- Satellite View of our Weather, Tues. 100928, 6am LT 

Satellite Water Vapor, Tues. 100928_6am LT

Fig 2 - 96L Center Position early Tuesday 100928

Fig 3 - NHC Tropical Forecast Tues., 100928 6am LT

NHC

Fig. 4 -96L's Wanderings on 9/27/10 & 9/28/10

Fig 5 - Computer Model Track Projections for 96L