The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
Skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be light and variable in direction at 20 mph or less. Seas will be moderate at 1ft. to 3ft. or less. There is an increasing chance of rain through the weekend. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1.HURRICANE OTTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 1000 AM EST THU NOV 24 2016
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane penetrated the eye of Otto around 1200 UTC this morning and indicated that the hurricane was intensifying. The estimated central pressure dropped to 976 mb and the flight-level wind at 700 mb peaked at 108 kt while the SFMR winds reached 90 kt. Since that time, satellite imagery showed that the hurricane cloud pattern has become better organized with a distinct eye in both convectional and microwave imagery, and the Data-T numbers reached 5.5 on the Dvorak scale. On this basis, the initial intensity has been set at 95 kt. There is an opportunity for some additional strengthening before Otto makes landfall during the next several hours. However, weakening should begin after the eye moves farther inland across Central America. Otto is expected to emerge over the eastern Pacific in about 12 to 24 h as a tropical storm. Otto should continue to weaken as it moves over the eastern pacific given that strong shear is forecast to prevail in that region, and the cyclone should become a remnant low by the end of the forecast period. The NHC intensity forecast is very similar to the previous one. Satellite and reconnaissance fixes indicate that Otto is moving toward the west or 270 degrees at 8 kt. The hurricane is trapped within easterly flow associated with a strong high pressure to the north, and since this high is forecast to persist, the hurricane should continue on a general west to west-southwest track for the next 3 days. After that time, a much weaker Otto should turn to the west-northwest around the western edge of the high. The track guidance is very consistent with this scenario and there is no need to deviate from the previous NHC forecast. The forecast track continues to be very close to the multi-model consensus.
NHC thanks the crew of the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters for flying and providing valuable data on Thanksgiving Day.
2. Gulf of Mexico - A nearly stationary front from SE Louisiana to S Texas will weaken through tonight. A cold front moving into the northern Gulf Fri will extend from northern Florida to south Texas early Sat...and weaken across the southern Gulf Sun. Strong southerly flow will develop in the western and central Gulf Mon...with building seas.
3. Caribbean Sea - Hurricane Otto near 11.0N 83.4W 975 mb at 10 am EST moving W at 8 kt. maximum sustained winds 95 kt gusts 115 kt. Otto is forecast to make landfall along the coast of S Nicaragua today then weaken to a tropical storm. Seas in the SW Caribbean will rapidly subside after landfall. High pressure N of the area will maintain fresh to strong NE winds over much of the E and central Caribbean through Fri night. Another high building N of the area will increase winds over the N Caribbean Mon. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane penetrated the eye of Otto around 1200 UTC this morning and indicated that the hurricane was intensifying. The estimated central pressure dropped to 976 mb and the flight-level wind at 700 mb peaked at 108 kt while the SFMR winds reached 90 kt. Since that time, satellite imagery showed that the hurricane cloud pattern has become better organized with a distinct eye in both convectional and microwave imagery, and the Data-T numbers reached 5.5 on the Dvorak scale. On this basis, the initial intensity has been set at 95 kt. There is an opportunity for some additional strengthening before Otto makes landfall during the next several hours. However, weakening should begin after the eye moves farther inland across Central America. Otto is expected to emerge over the eastern Pacific in about 12 to 24 h as a tropical storm. Otto should continue to weaken as it moves over the eastern pacific given that strong shear is forecast to prevail in that region, and the cyclone should become a remnant low by the end of the forecast period. The NHC intensity forecast is very similar to the previous one. Satellite and reconnaissance fixes indicate that Otto is moving toward the west or 270 degrees at 8 kt. The hurricane is trapped within easterly flow associated with a strong high pressure to the north, and since this high is forecast to persist, the hurricane should continue on a general west to west-southwest track for the next 3 days. After that time, a much weaker Otto should turn to the west-northwest around the western edge of the high. The track guidance is very consistent with this scenario and there is no need to deviate from the previous NHC forecast. The forecast track continues to be very close to the multi-model consensus.
NHC thanks the crew of the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters for flying and providing valuable data on Thanksgiving Day.
2. Gulf of Mexico - A nearly stationary front from SE Louisiana to S Texas will weaken through tonight. A cold front moving into the northern Gulf Fri will extend from northern Florida to south Texas early Sat...and weaken across the southern Gulf Sun. Strong southerly flow will develop in the western and central Gulf Mon...with building seas.
3. Caribbean Sea - Hurricane Otto near 11.0N 83.4W 975 mb at 10 am EST moving W at 8 kt. maximum sustained winds 95 kt gusts 115 kt. Otto is forecast to make landfall along the coast of S Nicaragua today then weaken to a tropical storm. Seas in the SW Caribbean will rapidly subside after landfall. High pressure N of the area will maintain fresh to strong NE winds over much of the E and central Caribbean through Fri night. Another high building N of the area will increase winds over the N Caribbean Mon. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west.
Fig 4
- Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and
Sun
high tide 6:23 am LT Sunrise – 5:55 am LT>111° East
low tide 12:13 pm LT Sunset – 5:13 pm LT < 249° NW
high tide 5:37 pm LT Moon Rise – 1:59 pm LT<90° East
low tide 12:21 am LT Moon Set – 2:17 am LT>268º West
low tide 12:13 pm LT Sunset – 5:13 pm LT < 249° NW
high tide 5:37 pm LT Moon Rise – 1:59 pm LT<90° East
low tide 12:21 am LT Moon Set – 2:17 am LT>268º West
Fig 5 - Moon
Day Light Hours: 11 hours, 18 minutes (-30s)
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