Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

Monday, November 21, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be moderate and mainly NNE in direction at 10 mph or less.  Seas will be moderate at 2ft. to 4ft. Or less.  There is a extremely slight chance of rain today.  The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.

Fig 1 - Today's Wind and Weather Forecast

Fig 2 - 3 Day Cloud Cover-Rain Forecast Fig 3 - IR Satellite Water Vapor

The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 1000 AM EST MON NOV 21 2016 The cloud pattern of the tropical cyclone is gradually becoming better organized, with some banding features over the northern and western portions of the circulation and small bursts of deep convection near or over the estimated center. The current intensity is held at 30 kt in agreement with a Dvorak estimate from TAFB, pending an Air Force reconnaissance mission into the cyclone this afternoon. There is moderate south-southeasterly shear over the depression, and this should allow for only slow strengthening over the next day or two. In 72 hours or so, some relaxation of the shear is forecast with an upper-level anticyclone developing over the tropical cyclone, and the system is predicted to become a hurricane before landfall. The official intensity forecast is the same as the previous one, and is close to the latest SHIPS model guidance. Satellite-derived center fixes indicate little motion since late yesterday. The depression is currently located near a col in the mid-level flow, so steering currents are very weak at this time. Global model guidance shows a high developing to the north of the system in a few days, so a generally westward track is forecast. The official track forecast is mainly a blend of the ECMWF and GFS tracks, with the former model being faster and farther south and the latter being slower and farther north. The new official forecast is very similar to the previous NHC forecast track.
2. Gulf of Mexico - Winds and seas will diminish today as high pressure N of the area shifts eastward. Moderate to fresh return flow will develop W of 90W Tue and Wed. A cold front will push into the northern Gulf Wed night...stall and weaken thu then lift N of the area late Thu. A weak cold front will approach the N central Gulf by late Fri.
3. Caribbean Sea - Tropical Depression Sixteen remains stationary near 11.5N 79.3W 1002 mb at 1500 utc. maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. It is expected to drift westward toward Nicaragua and intensify through Thu. A cold front across the NW Caribbean will enhance fresh to strong NE winds over a large area north of the depression from the Windward Passage to Costa Rica through Fri. 

Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us.

Fig 4 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer

The Tides: Moon and Sun 

high tide 3:48 am LT                Sunrise – 5:53 am LT>111° East
low tide 9:54 am LT                  Sunset – 5:13 pm LT < 249° NW
high tide  3:42 pm LT                Moon Rise – 12:25 pm LT<78° East
low tide  10:56 pm LT               Moon Set – 12:18 am LT>280º West   
                                                                                                                                

Fig 5 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  11 hours, 19 minutes (-32s)