The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
Skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be light and variable in direction at 10 mph or less. Seas will be moderate at 1ft. to 3ft. or less. There is an increasing chance of rain through the weekend. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. TROPICAL STORM OTTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 1000 AM EST WED NOV 23 2016
Otto has lost some organization since yesterday. The last Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission reported that the eyewall has dissipated, along with a 6-mb rise in pressure. Still, the maximum 700-mb flight-level winds were 68 kt, with SFMR winds of about 50 kt. The initial intensity is conservatively reduced to 60 kt for this advisory. It appears that the southeasterly shear has been a little stronger than forecast yesterday, which has allowed some drier air to mix into the cyclone. This is evident in the inner-core data from the Air Force mission, which showed rather low dewpoints at 700 mb. The global models are suggesting the shear will decrease before landfall, and Otto should be moving over warmer waters later today that have not be subjected to any storm-forced upwelling. These factors suggest some restrengthening is possible overnight and Thursday, which is consistent with the bulk of the guidance models. Stronger shear over the eastern Pacific is expected to cause gradual weakening of Otto in that basin, with remnant low status likely by day 5.
The official intensity forecast has been reduced somewhat from the last one but still calls for Otto to be a hurricane at landfall. Aircraft fixes show that Otto continues to move toward the west-northwest at 4 kt. A building mid-level ridge to the north of Otto should cause the tropical cyclone to turn westward and accelerate tonight. Late in the period, a motion south of due west is indicated as the mid-level ridge amplifies over the eastern Pacific. Model guidance is tightly clustered on this solution, and the latest official forecast is very close to the previous one.
2. Gulf of Mexico - A cold front will move into the NW Gulf tonight then weaken from SE Louisiana to south Texas Thu morning. A second cold front will move into the northern Gulf Fri. The front will extend from northern Florida to south Texas early Sat and from south Florida to the central Gulf early Sun.
3. Caribbean Sea - Tropical storm Otto near 11.1N 80.7W 994 mb at 1500 utc moving WNW at 4 kt. Maximum sustained winds 60 kt gusts 75 kt. Otto is forecast to re intensify to hurricane strength early Thursday before it makes landfall near southern Nicaragua. High pressure N of the Caribbean will support fresh to strong NE winds over a broad area of the central and W Caribbean N of 15N from Hispaniola to Honduras through Fri night.
All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west..
Fig 4
- Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and
Sun
high tide 5:42 am LT Sunrise – 5:54 am LT>111° East
low tide 11:36 am LT Sunset – 5:13 pm LT < 249° NW
high tide 5:04 pm LT Moon Rise – 1:11 pm LT<86° East
low tide 11:54 pm LT Moon Set – 1:39 am LT>272º West
high tide 5:42 am LT Sunrise – 5:54 am LT>111° East
low tide 11:36 am LT Sunset – 5:13 pm LT < 249° NW
high tide 5:04 pm LT Moon Rise – 1:11 pm LT<86° East
low tide 11:54 pm LT Moon Set – 1:39 am LT>272º West
Fig 5 - Moon
Day Light Hours: 11 hours, 18 minutes (-30s)
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