Saturday, November 19, 2016

Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Saturday, November 19, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be moderate and mainly northweasterly in direction at 25 mph or less.  Seas will be moderate at 2ft. to 4ft.  There is a slight chance of rain through Sunday.  The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.






The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Tropical cyclone formation - Showers and thunderstorms have increased somewhat in association with a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea this evening. However the shower and thunderstorm activity is disorganized, and surface pressures are not falling. Upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for development over the next couple of days. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could still form early next week while the low moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
2. Gulf of Mexico - A strong cold front over the NW Gulf from near New Orleans to Brownsville, TX will cross the basin today and extend from Florida Straits to the SW Gulf Sun morning. Strong NE winds and building seas expected behind the front through Sun. Frequent gusts to gale force are possible off the south Texas coast this morning. Gale force winds are expected S of 25N W of 95W within 90 nm of the Mexican coast today...with gales persisting S of 22N near Veracruz, Mexico through Sun morning.
3. Caribbean Sea - A stationary front extends from Haiti to Nicaragua. A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Sun...and bring fresh to strong NE winds over a large area from the Windward Passage to Costa Rica Sun through Tue. A broad area of low pressure will persist in the SW Caribbean through Wed night.
3a. A deep layer trough passes through the area of Bermuda, to the central Bahamas, to NW Cuba, toward the coastal areas of Honduras in Central America. The trough supports a cold front that passes through 32N56W to 30N57W to 25N60W to 22N63W. A stationary front continues from 22N63W to 20N69W, across Hispaniola along a NE-to- SW line, to 16N76W in the Caribbean Sea, to the northern coast of Nicaragua near 14N83W. Convective precipitation in the Atlantic Ocean: isolated moderate within 90 nm on either side of 32N55W 26N57W 23N60W, into the Mona Passage. Convective precipitation in the Caribbean Sea: scattered strong from 15N to 18N between 74W and 76W. scattered to numerous strong from 13N southward between 80W and the coast of Central America.
3b. ...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
Upper level SW wind flow covers the area to the east of the line that runs from central Cuba to the central coast of Honduras. An upper level ridge runs from the SE corner of the area beyond Hispaniola. An upper level trough covers the rest of the area, in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. The 24-HOUR rainfall totals in inches for the period ending at 19/0000 UTC...according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...is 0.70 in Guadeloupe.
Fig 4 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 12:56 am LT                Sunrise – 5:52 am LT>110° East
low tide 7:16 am LT                  Sunset – 5:13 pm LT < 250° NW
high tide  1:48 pm LT                Moon Rise – 10:37 pm LT<75° East
low tide  8:30 pm LT                 Moon Set – 10:46 am LT>286º West
                                                                                                                                
Fig 5 - Moon

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