Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be light and mainly westerly in direction at 15 mph or less.  Seas will be moderate to calm at 1ft. to 3ft.  There is a slight chance of rain through this weekend.  The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.







The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A large area cloudiness and thunderstorms is associated with a broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development of this disturbance during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week or over the weekend while the low drifts northward or northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us.
Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
2. Gulf of Mexico - A cold front over S Florida and the SE Gulf from 27N80W to 25N84W merged with a stationary front from the SE Gulf to 1015 mb low pressure in the SW Gulf near 18N94W. The merged boundary will push SE of the basin Tue night while a new cold front moves into the NW waters. The new front will stall and dissipate Wed with E-SE return flow dominating the basin for the end of the week. A strong cold front will move into the far NW Gulf late Fri night.
3. Caribbean Sea - Mainly moderate to locally fresh trades will prevail across the basin. A weak cold front will move into the NW Caribbean late Tue night and stall from central Cuba to Honduras through Thu. High pressure will build behind the front Thu and Fri and produce fresh to strong winds across Caribbean NW of front. Broad low pressure will develop in the SW Caribbean by the end of the week.
3a. An elongated east/west upper ridge is anchored near 16N76W and covers the Gulf of Mexico and the west Atlantic. At the surface is a surface trough that extends from 17N82W to 12N81W generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms from 11N- 17N between 74W-83W and south of 11N west of 79W. The monsoon trough is across the southwest Caribbean from Colombia near 11N75W 11N78W to across Costa Rica near 9N84W generating scattered to numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms south of 11N between 74W-79W. The remainder of the east Caribbean remains tranquil again this morning. A surface trough is approaching the Lesser Antilles along 59W from 9N-16N with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms from 9N-14N between 58W-62W with the heavier activity moving over the Windward Islands this morning. The east Caribbean surface trough will persist through the end of the week where a broad low pressure is expected to develop by the weekend. A weak cold front will move into the northwest Caribbean late tonight and stall from central Cuba to Honduras by Thursday.
Fig 4 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide 2:53 am LT                      Sunrise – 5:50 am LT>109° East
high tide  9:34 am LT                    Sunset – 5:14 pm LT < 251° NW
low tide  3:27 am LT                     Moon Rise – 6:42 pm LT<72° East
high tide 9:00 pm LT                     Moon Set – 6:51 am LT>287º West

                                                                                                                                         
Fig 5 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  11 hours, 23 minutes (-37s)

No comments:

Post a Comment