Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Partly Cloudy

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Skies will be partly cloudy.  Winds will be moderate and easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 2 to 4 ft. or higher. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.




The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A trough with active convection S of 27N in the western Gulf will drift west and weaken through Wed night. A cold front pushing into the northern Gulf Thu will become stationary from central Florida to the SW Gulf Fri...then dissipate through Sat.
2. Caribbean Sea - A weak tropical wave along 72W will move across the W Caribbean through Fri. A strong tropical low centered near 12N52W is expected to become a tropical cyclone later today east of the Windward Islands. Gale force winds are expected north of the low center as it crosses the Lesser Antilles. Further intensification is expected in the eastern and central Caribbean Wed through Sat. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 51W from 17N southward. A 1008 mb low pressure center is along the wave near 11N. Convective precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong from 11N to 17N between 48W and 55W. The precipitation pattern continues to become more organized. It is likely that a tropical depression or a tropical storm may form later today if this weather system continues to become more organized. The forecast movement is to the WNW-to-W about 20 mph. Please monitor the progress of this weather system if you have any interests that are in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, including the northern coast of South America. Heavy rains and strong gusty winds, possibly to tropical storm force, are expected to spread across the Windward Islands and sections of the southern Lesser Antilles beginning tonight and continuing into Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. The chance of formation during the next 48 hours is high. Gale wind conditions are forecast in 24 hours, within 120 NM N semicircle of a 1006 mb low pressure center near 13N57W, and sea heights are forecast to range from 10 feet to 13 feet. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
4. ...Tropical Waves...
4a. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 21W/22W from 16N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Convective precipitation: Monsoon trough precipitation, isolated moderate to locally strong, is from 10N southward between 10W and 30W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is to the south of 19N, passing through the Mona Passage to 14N69W, and to 09N69W in NW Venezuela. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 10N to 20N between 60W and 70W. An upper level trough extends from an Atlantic Ocean 25N69W cyclonic circulation center, to Puerto Rico, into the Caribbean Sea, and toward Lake Maracaibo in NW Venezuela. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 20N southward between 60W and 70W. It is not easy to figure out which precipitation just is related to the tropical wave, and which precipitation is related only to the upper level trough.
All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide 6:57 am LT                  Sunrise – 5:36 am LT>88° East
high tide 3:09 pm LT                 Sunset – 5:47 pm LT < 272° West
low tide 8:23 pm LT                  Moon Rise – 10:39 am LT> 107° East
high tide 1:19 am LT                 Moon Set – 10:26 pm LT < 252° West 

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  12 hours, 2 minutes (-52s)

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