Partly Cloudy

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

Sunday, September 18, 2016
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be moderate and easterly in direction at 10 mph to 15 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or higher. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.

Fig 1 - Today's Wind and Weather Forecast

 

Fig 1 - This Week's Wind and Weather Forecast

Fig 2 - 3 Day Cloud Cover-Rain Forecast

The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula during the late afternoons and move W over the SW Gulf by late each morning. A weak surface trough will continue across the far NW waters today. A surface ridge from the Florida Big Bend to the central Mexican coast will reorientate from the Mississippi Delta to Florida Bay on Tue with fresh NE winds developing across the W central waters.
2. Caribbean Sea - Fresh to strong trades will develop along the coast of Colombia Sun night. These winds will persist into the early morning hours. A tropical wave over the E Caribbean will pass over Puerto Rico on Sun...reaching Dominican Republic on Mon. Large NE to E swell from tropical cyclone Karl will dominate the tropical N Atlantic waters Mon and Tue. Karl is expected to move across N portions of the tropical N Atlantic waters Tue and Wed.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. Tropical Depression Julia is centered near 31.3N 76.7W at 18/0900 UTC or about 190 nm east-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina and about 245 nm south-southwest of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina moving north-northwest at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 30N-32N between 75W-78W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are from 28N-32N between 72W-75W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are from 27N-30N between 68W- 72W.
3b. Tropical Storm Karl is centered near 17.7N 42.3W at 18/0900 UTC or about 1115 nm east of the Leeward Islands moving west at 11 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong convection are from 17N- 21N between 38W-43W. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us.Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
3c. A tropical wave located between Africa and the Capo Verde Islands extends along 22W from 9N-18N with a 1007 mb low along the wave near 13N22W. Wave and low are moving west-northwest at 5 to 10 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a global model 700 mb trough and remains embedded within a surge of moisture as shown on the Total Precipitable Water imagery. Clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong convection are from 15N-19N between 17W-23W. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week. Regardless of development, this system could bring rain and gusty winds to the Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days. This system has a medium chance of tropical formation within the next 48 hours.
4...Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles extends along 61W from 11N-20N moving west 10 to 15 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a global model 700 mb trough but remains within an area of dry air. No associated showers or deep convection.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer

The Tides: Moon and Sun 

low tide 3:26 am LT                                  Sunrise – 5:36 am LT>88° East
high tide 9:50 am LT                                 Sunset – 5:46 pm LT < 272° NW
low tide  3:49 pm LT                                 Moon Rise – 7:35 pm LT<83° East
high tide 9:28 pm LT                                 Moon Set – 7:20 am LT>275º West
                                                                                                                                      

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  12 hours, 9 minutes, (-52 sec)