Mostly Cloudy

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

Thursday, September 29, 2016
Skies will be mostly cloudy. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours. Winds will be moderate and easterly in direction at 5 mph to 20 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or higher. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.

Fig 1 - Today's Wind and Weather Forecast

Fig 2 - 3 Day Cloud Cover-Rain Forecast

The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A weakening cold front over the northern Gulf will drift SE today while a reinforcing cold front enters the NW Gulf this afternoon...merging with the weak front tonight. The front will then reach the central waters Friday before stalling out over this area Sat...dissipating late in the weekend or early next week.
2. Caribbean Sea - Tropical Storm Matthew near 14.0N 64.7W 1002 MB at 5 am EDT moving W at 14 kt. maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt. Matthew will move to 14.1N 69.2W early Fri while strengthening to a hurricane...13.8N 72.2W early Sat...then 14.5N 74.0W early Sun as it begins a turn to the NW and N...approaching E Cuba and the Windward Passage Mon.
3. ...Special Features...
3a.Tropical Storm Matthew at 29/1200 UTC is centered near 14.1N 65.5W or about 260 NM S of San Juan Puerto Rico and about 230 nm ENE of Curacao moving west at 14 KT. Maximum sustained winds are 60 KT with gusts to 75 KT. Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb. Numerous heavy showers associated with it are happening from 12N to 16N between 60W and 65W. Scattered moderate convection is elsewhere from 11N to 18N between 59W and 65W. Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane tonight or early Friday morning. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
4...Tropical Waves...
4a. A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic extending from 07N to 17N with axis near 24W, moving at 15 kt over the past 24 hours according to satellite and global model guidance. This wave is newly introduced based on global tropical waves diagnostic guidance and latest passes of scatterometer data. Abundant moderate to high low level moisture and a diffluent wind environment at the middle and upper levels support numerous moderate to isolated strong convection from 12N to 16N between 21W and 27W. Scattered moderate convection is elsewhere from 10N to 17N E of 29W.
4b. A tropical wave is in the Central Atlantic extending from 08N to 16N with axis near 33W moving W at 15 kt over the past 24 hours. This is a low amplitude wave in a region of unfavorable deep layer wind shear. CIRA LPW imagery and Meteosat enhanced imagery show dry air in the northern wave environment that along dust support lack of convection at the time. Scattered showers are from 09N to 12N between the wave axis and 39W.
4c. A tropical wave is in the Central Atlc extending from 05N to 14N with axis near 45W expected to move at 15 kt over the next 24 hours. Unfavorable deep layer wind shear is in the northern wave environment supporting lack of convection N of 12N. CIRA LPW imagery show a moderate moist environment elsewhere with pockets of dry air mainly W the wave axis where isolated showers are observed to 50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong showers are from 08N to 12N between 38W and 44W.
4d. A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean extending from 09N to 20N with axis near 86W moving W at 15 KT over the past 24 hours. The wave is in a region of abundant low level moisture and favorable deep layer wind shear that support isolated heavy showers and tstms S of 20N between 81W and 87W.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer

The Tides: Moon and Sun

low tide  1:32 am LT                             Sunrise – 5:37 am LT>93° East
high tide 7:54 am LT                             Sunset – 5:37 pm LT < 267° NW
low tide 1:45 am LT                              Moon Rise – 4:28 pm LT<85° East
high tide 7:36 pm LT                             Moon Set – 4:59 am LT>273º West

    

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:   12 hours, (-52s)