Sunday, September 25, 2016

Mostly Cloudy

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Sunday, September 25, 2016
Skies will be mostly cloudy. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours. Winds will be moderate and easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 2 to 4 ft. or higher. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.






The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - Weak high pressure will prevail over the NE Gulf through Mon. A weak cold front will reach the NW Gulf Mon night...then stall and dissipate in the northern Gulf through Tue night. Seas will remain 3 ft or less across most of the basin through Thu.
2. Caribbean Sea - High pressure building over the western Atlantic will support moderate to fresh trades in the S central Caribbean and gentle to moderate trades elsewhere through Mon night. A tropical wave along 59W will cross the Lesser Antilles today. A tropical wave and low pressure near 39W will cross 55W Tue and move across the Windward Islands into the E Caribbean Wed. A tropical cyclone may develop from this system in the west-central Atlantic before reaching the Lesser Antilles.
3. ...Special Features...
3a. Tropical Storm Karl is centered near 37.5N 53.5W at 25/0900 UTC or about 552 nm south of Cape Race Newfoundland, moving northeast at 40 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Scattered to numerous strong convection prevails north of 36N between 48W-55W.
4. ...Tropical Waves...
4a. A tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends its axis from 14N34W to a 1011 mb surface low centered near 07N35W, moving west near 20 kt over the past 24 hours. This wave coincides with a 700 mb trough noted in model guidance and is embedded within a surge of moisture as seen in TPW imagery. Scattered moderate convection has developed in the vicinity of these features extending from 06N-14N between 35W-42W.
4b. A tropical wave in the west-central Tropical Atlantic extends its axis from 22N57W to 12N58W, moving west near 15 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave coincides with a 700 mb trough depicted in model guidance and is embedded within an surge of moderate moisture as seen in TPW imagery. Isolated moderate convection prevails along the southern portion of the wave's axis south of 14N between 57W-60W.
4c. A tropical wave extends from the southern portion of Mexico into the EPAC waters from 19N96W to 08N96W. This wave has moved west at about 5-10 kt over the past 24 hours. A 700 mb trough is depicted by global guidance near this area and abundant moisture is noted in TPW imagery. Scattered moderate convection prevails in the wave's environment mainly between 93W-102W affecting the southern portion of the Bay of Campeche mainly south of 20N between 93W-97W.




Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 5:05 am LT                                Sunrise – 5:36 am LT>91° East
low tide 11:05 am LT                               Sunset – 5:41 pm LT < 269° NW
high tide 5:39 pm LT                                Moon Rise – 12:04 pm LT<71° East
low tide  11:59 pm LT                              Moon Set – 1:14 am LT>289º West
                                                                                                                                    
  
Fig 4 - Moon

No comments:

Post a Comment