Friday, September 9, 2016

Mostly Cloudy

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Friday, September 09, 2016
Skies will be mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain today.  Winds will be mostly westerly in direction at 5 mph to 15 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or higher. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.




The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A weak ridge will prevail across the northern Gulf through early next week. The northern portion of a tropical wave will move W across the SW Gulf Sat through Sun night. A surface trough and weak area of low presssure near the FL Straits will meander W across the SE Gulf this weekend.
2. Caribbean Sea - A tropical wave over the W Caribbean will reach the Yucatan and Central America tonight. A second tropical wave over the central Caribbean will reach the W Caribbean Sat...and exit W of the area early next week. A weak surface trough from 16N63W to the Virgin Islands will move W of Puerto Rico by late Sat.
3. ...Tropical Waves...
3a. A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 06N to 17N with axis near 37W, moving W at 20 kt within the last 24 hours. There is a 1010 mb center of low pressure associated with the wave centered near 11N37W, which is forecast to move WNW to near 13N41W within the next 24 hours. The wave is in a region of mainly favorable to neutral deep layer wind shear and abundant moisture from the surface to 850 mb as indicated by CIRA LPW imagery. That environment along with divergent flow aloft support scattered showers and tstms from 06N to 17N between 31W and 43W. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form while this system moves WNW into the central Atlantic by early next week.
3b. A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean waters extending from 11N to 19N with axis near 69W, moving W at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. The wave is in a region of neutral to unfavorable deep layer wind shear and water vapor imagery continue to show strong dry air subsidence, which hinder shower activity at the time.
3c. A tropical wave is entering the Yucatan Peninsula. The wave extends from 15N to 24N with axis near 87W, moving W at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. Abundant moisture in the wave environment, favorable deep layer wind shear and diffluence at the middle levels support isolated showers within 90 nm either side of its axis.


Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
Notice how weak the SAL has been lately.
The Tides: Moon and Sun 
high tide 2:57 am LT                                     Sunrise – 5:35 am LT>85° East
low tide  9:37 am LT                                     Sunset – 5:53 pm LT < 275° NW
high tide 4:52 pm LT                                     Moon Rise – 12:12 pm LT<109° East
low tide 10:32 pm LT                                    Moon Set – 11:51 am LT>251º West
                                                                                                                                    

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  12 hours, 17 minutes (-52s)

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