The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Monday,
September 15, 2014
Today,
skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction this
morning at 10 mph to 20 mph; increasing to 20 to 25 mph this
afternoon and evening. Seas
will be rough at 2 to 4 feet or higher. Expect these wind and sea
conditions to start to moderate tomorrow. There is a slight chance of
scattered rain showers and thunder storms.
The
air temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid
to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC.
Ocean
water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility
is 20 to 80 ft.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Edouard, located about 700 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.Fresh to strong winds in the Gulf of Honduras and S central Caribbean will start to diminish today and tonight as the pressure gradient weakens. Moderate trades will then prevail through the week. Swells associated with Hurricane Edouard will continue to propagate toward the Leeward Islands through Tuesday...gradually subsiding through the remainder of the week.
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on September 15, 2014
Quiet in the rest of the Atlantic
There is a new tropical wave predicted to come off the coast of Africa on Thursday that two of our reliable genesis models are predicting could develop near the Cape Verde Islands by Friday or Saturday. The GFS ensemble forecast is also highlighting the Southwest Caribbean waters near the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras may be an area to watch for development late this week. NHC is not yet highlighting either of these areas in their Monday morning Tropical Weather Outlook.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
high tide 2:27 am LT Moon Rise – 11:28 pm LT
low tide 9:20 am LT Moon Set –11:44 am LT
high tide 4:00 pm LT Sunrise – 5:36 am LT
low tide 10:24 pm LT Sunset – 5:50 pm LT
low tide 9:20 am LT Moon Set –11:44 am LT
high tide 4:00 pm LT Sunrise – 5:36 am LT
low tide 10:24 pm LT Sunset – 5:50 pm LT
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