The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Friday,
September 05, 2017
Today,
skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction at 12
mph to 20 mph or higher this morning; increasing to 20 mph to 30 mph
from the east this afternoon and evening. Seas
will be rough at 2 to 4 feet or higher. Expect increasing cloudiness
and scattered rain showers with the passage of a tropical wave today
and tonight.
The
air temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid
to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC.
Ocean
water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility
is 20 to 80 ft.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
1.
Invest 90L, an area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, located
just south of the Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next several days while it moves westward at about
15 mph. This system could bring locally heavy rain and gusty winds in
squalls to portions of the Cape Verde Islands today.
*
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
*
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.
Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
2.
Tropical wave along 76W will move W through the W Caribbean including
the Yucatan basin tonight through Saturday night. Another tropical
wave over the E Caribbean will continue W Through the central
Caribbean on Saturday and Sunday...and through the W Caribbean on
Monday and Tuesday. A third tropical wave along 46W will pass through
the tropical Atlantic waters tonight and Saturday...pass through the
E Caribbean on Saturday night and Sunday...reaching the central
Caribbean early next week.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 26 - Storm Statistics Invest 90L
high
tide 5:16 am LT Moon Rise – 3:03 pm LT
low
tide 11:45 am LT Moon Set –1:53 am LT
high
tide 6:15 pm LT Sunrise – 5:35 am LT
low
tide 12:13 am LT Sunset – 5:58 pm LT
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