The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Thursday,
September 18, 2014
Today,
skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction today
at 5 mph to 15 mph. Seas
will be moderate at 1 to 3 feet. Expect these wind and sea
conditions to prevail through this weekend. There is a slight chance
of scattered rain showers and thunder storms.
The
air temperatures will range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid
to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC.
Ocean
water temperatures are 82°F to 84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility
is 20 to 80 ft.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
1.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located about 900 miles west of the western Azores.
2.
A tropical wave has been designated Invest 95L. It is accompanied by a broad low pressure system, which is
located just off of the west coast of Africa. Although shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, environmental conditions
are expected to be at least marginally conducive for some gradual
development of this system over the next several days while it moves
slowly west-northwestward to northwestward over the far eastern
tropical Atlantic.
*
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
*
Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
3.A
tropical wave moving across the Leeward Islands will move through
the E Caribbean today and tonight...then the central Caribbean
through Friday night...then will weaken and become harder to track
as it continues westward. Another tropical wave will move across the
tropical N Atlantic waters Saturday and Saturday night...then into
the E Caribbean Sunday and Sunday night. Otherwise...moderate to
locally fresh trades will prevail across the area through the
period.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
high tide 5:24 am LT Moon Rise – 1:03 am LT
low tide 11:41 am LT Moon Set –2:10 pm LT
high tide 5:51 pm LT Sunrise – 5:36 am LT
low tide 12:10 am LT Sunset – 5:47 pm LT
low tide 11:41 am LT Moon Set –2:10 pm LT
high tide 5:51 pm LT Sunrise – 5:36 am LT
low tide 12:10 am LT Sunset – 5:47 pm LT
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