The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast for Monday October 22, 2012

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan 

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude 

In the

   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column are two very useful widgets. The first is a tropical weather tracker which shows you the location and forecast track of active tropical storm systems.
The second is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Monday October 22, 2012
Again today, skies will be partly sunny, with mid to high level clouds. Seas will be moderate to calm at 1 to 3 feet or less. Winds will be light and mostly easterly in direction at 10 mph or less today.
There is a chance of isolated rain showers and thunderstorms throughout the day, as of an area of disturbed weather associated with a frontal boundary remains over us.
The air temperatures will range from the low 80s (ºF) to the low 90s (ºF) or 26ºC to 32ºC.
Ocean water temperatures are 83 to 84ºF or 26 to 27ºC. Visibility is generally 20 to 80 feet.

Fig 1 – Today's Wind Forecast

Fig 2 - Today's Graphicast

Fig 3 - Today's Tropical Surface Analysis

Fig 4 - Today's Caribbean Satellite Image

Fig 5 - Today's Tropical Surface Forecast

The Tropical Weather Outlook
Invest 99L, continues to move slowly WSW. Scattered moderate to strong convective precipitation is associated with this wave. This system now has a  90 percent chance...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. This morning, it was located about 580 miles ESE of us (See Fig 14). Maximum sustained winds were 30 mph. The barometric pressure has fallen to 1005mb. It may develop into a tropical depression between here and Jamaica by Tuesday or Wednesday. There  is little consensus among computers model at this time as to this systems track (See Fig 15, 16, 17).
Interests in the Bay Islands and on the north coast of Honduras should monitor this system for further development.
A concentrated area of cloudiness and thunderstorms centered about 750 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands has been designated 90L. This system has a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwestward.

Fig 6 - Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity

Fig 7 - Today's NOAA Tropical Surface Analysis

Fig 8 - Today's Saharan Air Layer

Fig 9 - Today's Atlantic Satellite Image

Fig 10 - Today's IR Water Vapor Image

Fig 11 - Today's ECMWF Computer Model Run

Fig 12 - Today's HWRF Computer Model Run

Fig 13 - Today's Northern Hemisphere Enhanced Ir Image

Fig 14 - Invest 99L_Distance and Bearing from Roatan

Fig 15 - Invest 99L_Early Track Guidance

Fig 16 - Invest 99L_Early Track Guidance

Fig 17 - Invest 99L_NCEP GFS Ensemble Track

The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 3:21 am LT                    Moon Rise –  12:36 pm LT
low tide 9:57 am LT                     Moon Set – 12:25 am LT
high tide 4:06 pm LT                    Sunrise – 5:41 am LT
low tide 10:26 pm LT                   Sunset – 5:22 pm LT

Moon