Sunday, October 2, 2016

Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Sunday, October 02, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms today. Winds will be light and westerly in direction at 5 mph to 10 mph or less. Seas will be  moderate to calm at 1 to 3 ft. or less. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.



 



The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - A stationary front extending from near Tampa Bay, FL to near Veracruz, Mexico will gradually dissipate tonight into Mon while lifting northward. A ridge will dominate the Gulf region during the remainder of the forecast period. Hurricane Matthew is forecast to move through the Bahamas and off the east coast of Florida. Winds may increase slightly around the outer periphery in the eastern Gulf by the middle of the week.
2. Caribbean Sea - Hurricane Matthew near 13.9N 74.1W 940 mb at 5 am EDT moving NW at 4 kt. maximum sustained winds 130 kt gusts 160 kt. The center of Matthew will move to 14.6N 74.5W Sun afternoon...to 15.6N 74.7W Sun night...to 17.1N 74.7W Mon afternoon...then 18.8N 74.5W Mon night as it approaches the Windward Passage. Matthew will continue N across the central Bahamas as a hurricane through mid week.  All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us. Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
3. ...Tropical Waves...
3a. A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 10N to 20N with an associated 1010 mb low centered near 12N38W. Both the wave and the low has been moving at 10 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave is in a region of favorable deep layer wind shear from 9N to 15N. However, the CIRA LPW imagery show dry air pockets W of the wave axis and Meteosat enhanced imagery show Saharan dry air and dust in the wave environment, which is inhibiting deep convection at the time. Scattered to isolated showers are within 210 nm SE semicircle of the low and from 14N to 16N between 34W and 38W.
3b. A tropical wave is in the Atlantic just E of the Lesser Antilles extending from 10N to 20N with axis near 60W, moving W at 15 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave is in a region of unfavorable deep layer wind shear and CIRA LPW imagery from surface to 850 mb show pockets of dry air in its environment. This is inhibiting convection at the time.
Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun 
low tide  2:53 am LT                             Sunrise – 5:37 am LT>94° East
high tide 9:47 am LT                             Sunset – 5:35 pm LT < 266° NW
low tide 3:27 pm LT                              Moon Rise – 6:53 pm LT<97° East
high tide 8:45 pm LT                             Moon Set – 6:55 am LT>261º West
                                                                                                                                      
    




Fig 4 - Moon

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