Invest 97L now has a 40% chance of becoming a tropical depression

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan 

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude 

in the

   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:

The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.

Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.

This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.

In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Wednesday Oct 02, 2013

Again, today, skies will be partly sunny. Seas will be slightly confused and choppy at 1 to 3 feet. Winds will be light and mostly westerly in direction, this morning, at 5 mph to 15 mph less; decreasing to 10 mph or less, from the NE, this afternoon and evening. Expect increasing cloudiness and rain as Invest 97L approaches and passes to the north of us. See details below in the Tropical Weather Outlook.
The air temperatures will range from the mid 80s (ºF) to the low 90s (ºF) or 25ºC to 32ºC.
Ocean water temperatures are 84°F to 86ºF or 28ºC to 29ºC. Visibility is generally 20 to 80 feet.

Fig 1 - Today's Wind and Weather Forecast

Fig 2 - Today's Graphicast

Fig 3 - Today's Caribbean Satellite Image

Fig 3a - Today's Caribbean Satellite Image

Fig 3b - Today's Caribbean Satellite Image

Fig 4 - Today's Tropical Surface Analysis

Fig 5 - Today's NOAA Gulf of Mexico and W. Caribbean Surface Analysis

Fig 6 - Today's Satellite Water Vapor Image

Fig 6a - Today's Enhanced Infrared Satellite Image

Fig 7 - Today's Tropical Surface Forecast

Fig 8 - Today's NOAA Tropical Atlantic Surface Analysis

Fig 9 - Today's Saharan Air Layer

Fig 9a - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer

Fig 10 - SSMI/SSMIS/TMI-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

The Tropical Weather Outlook
Invest 97L appears slightly better organized on recent satellite loops. It will continue to move NW through today; across the NW Caribbean and inland across the Yucatan by Thursday. This morning, its center was located about 140 miles NE (48º) of Roatan at 17.8N by 84.8W. It is moving slowly to the NW, at 10 mph, with winds of 30 mph. The heaviest areas of rain are concentrated to the north of the Bay Islands. See Figs. 3, 3a and 3b above.This system now has a 40 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours and is given a 50 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 5 days. Interests here should monitor this system as it continues to develop.
TS Jerry remains a large area of cloudiness and showers located in the tropical Atlantic, several hundred miles SE of Bermuda. It is not expected to affect any land areas.
The SAL, has decreased in area and density in the last 24 hours. See Figs. 9 and 9a.

Fig 11 - Today's Tropical Weather Outlook

Fig 11a - Invest 97L's Distance and Location from Roatan

Fig 11b - Computer Model Forecast Tracks Invest 97L - Google Earth

Fig 11c - Computer Model Forecast Tracks Invest 97L

Fig 11c - Computer Model Forecast Tracks Invest 97L for 131002 & 131003

The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide 12:35 am LT                    Moon Rise – 3:28 am LT
high tide 7:00 am LT                     Moon Set – 4:06 pm LT
low tide 12:53 am LT                    Sunrise – 5:37 am LT

high tide 6:42 pm LT                     Sunset – 5:36 pm LT

Moon

For text or mobile version go to: http://www.cocoviewresort.com/weather.php