Skies will be Mostly Sunny

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast

This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

Friday July 29, 2016
Skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph or higher. Seas will be  moderate to rough  at 2 ft to 4ft or higher.. There is a slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, this evening.
The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.

Fig 1 - Today's Wind and Weather Forecast

Fig 2 - 3 Day Cloud Cover-Rain Forecast

The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Gulf of Mexico - High pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters through the period. A trough will move off the W coast of the Yucatan Peninsula each evening and dissipate across the SW Gulf each morning.
2. Caribbean Sea - The combination of high pressure N of the area and lower pres over the SW Caribbean Sea will maintain fresh to strong trades for much of the central Caribbean until tonight. Winds will decrease slightly on Sat and Sun as the ridge to the N weakens. a tropical wave will enter the tropical N Atlantic region tonight...then move W across the Caribbean Sat through Tue with increasing winds and building seas.
3. Tropical Outlook
3.1. A tropical wave located located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is moving rapidly westward. Given the fast motion of the system, development, if any, will be slow to occur. However, this system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands during the weekend, and then, the activity should spread westward across the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent
3.2. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands has increased during the past several hours, but the overall organization has changed little. This system has some potential for development during the next day or two, before the disturbance encounters a less favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
4. Tropical Waves...
4a. A tropical wave is in the far east Tropical Atlantic with axis that extends from 19N20.5W to a 1010 mb low near 11N21W. These features are moving west at about 10 kt over the past 24 hours. The wave coincides well with a low to mid level trough extending northward through the Cabo Verde Islands. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is evident within 90 nm of the center. Despite increased convection, the earlier microwave imagery showed the low level structure is still fairly weak at this time.
4b. A tropical wave is moving over the central Tropical Atlantic with axis from 19N41W to 10N41W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt over the past 24 hours. The tropical wave appears to have a high amplitude in the lower to mid levels of the atmosphere based on GOES high density winds with copious deep layer moisture in SSMI Total Precipitation Water Vapor Imagery. Recent scatterometer data also indicates associated surface troughing with an area of fresh trades on the northern portion of the surface trough from 19N to 15N between 40W and 45W. Scattered moderate convection is also noted with this tropical wave along the axis from 15N to 13N between 40W and 43W.
4c. A tropical wave is over western Tropical Atlantic from 17N54W to 09N53W, moving west 10 to 15 kt over the past 24 hours. This is a fairly weak and low amplitude tropical wave with very limited moisture. It is entering an area with fairly dry mid to upper levels and westerly shear. If the tropical wave persists through this area it will have little influence on the sensible weather for the next several days as it tracks west.
4d. A tropical wave is moving through the Gulf of Honduras, reaching from the western tip of Cuba through central Honduras near 16N85W. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the northwest Caribbean west of 85W.
5...ITCZ/Monsoon Trough... The Monsoon Trough extends across North Africa into the east Tropical Atlantic near 20N16W to 1010 mb low near 11N21W to 10N45W. The ITCZ begins from that point and continues to 08N55W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves and surface lows, scattered moderate convection is noted within 120 nm north of the monsoon trough between 45W and 50W.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer

The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 4:56 am LT                                                Sunrise – 5:28 am LT>70° East
low tide 11:38 am LT                                                Sunset – 6:19 pm LT < 289° NW
high tide 6:17 pm LT                                                Moon Rise – 01:27 am LT<73° East
low tide  12:14 am LT                                               Moon Set – 02:35 pm LT>288º West

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  12 hours, 50 minutes  (-37s)