The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
Skies will be mostly sunny. Winds will be easterly in direction at 10 mph to 30 mph or higher. Seas will be moderate to rough at 2 ft to 4 ft or higher..
The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Gulf of Mexico - High pressure will prevail over the Gulf waters through the period. A trough will move off the W coast of the Yucatan Peninsula each evening and dissipate over the SW Gulf each morning.
2. Caribbean Sea - The combination of high pressure NE of the area and lower pres over the SW Caribbean Sea will maintain fresh to strong trades over much of the central Caribbean through Fri. Winds and seas will decrease slightly on Sat and Sun...then increase once again on Mon and Tue. A tropical wave will exit the W Caribbean tonight. Another tropical wave will reach the E Caribbean on Sat.
3. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph. However, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development early next week when the system is over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
2. Caribbean Sea - The combination of high pressure NE of the area and lower pres over the SW Caribbean Sea will maintain fresh to strong trades over much of the central Caribbean through Fri. Winds and seas will decrease slightly on Sat and Sun...then increase once again on Mon and Tue. A tropical wave will exit the W Caribbean tonight. Another tropical wave will reach the E Caribbean on Sat.
3. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph. However, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development early next week when the system is over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
4. Tropical Waves...
4a. A tropical wave is in the east Atlantic east of the Cape Verde Islands. The wave extends from 07N-15N with axis near 19W, moving W at 5 kt within the last 18 hours. The wave is associated with a 1011 mb low located near 10N19W and is being engulfed by Saharan dry air and dust, which have significantly reduced the convection associated with it. The CIRA LPW imagery show dry air from the surface to 850 mb in the northern wave environment, which is devoid of convection. A cluster of heavy showers is associated with the center of low pressure and extends from 08N-11N between 18W and 21W. Isolated showers are elsewhere from 07N-12N E of 23W. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves W or W-NW.
4b.A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 10N-20N with axis near 35W, moving at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. Meteosat composite imagery show Saharan dry air and dust in the wave environment. CIRA LPW imagery from the surface to 850 mb confirms dry air intrusion in the wave environment, which is keeping the wave devoid of convection.
4c. A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic from 08N-17N with axis near 46W, moving west at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. CIRA LPW imagery show mainly dry air from the surface to 850 mb associated with this wave. The dry air is due to the presence of abundant Saharan dry air and dust, which continue to hinder convection at the time.
4d. A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean from 12N-22N with axis near 81W, moving west at 25 kt within the last 24 hours. Aloft, water vapor imagery show strong dry subsidence across most of the SW Caribbean, which is inhibiting convection in that region of the wave. However, shallow moisture in the NW Caribbean and divergent flow aloft support isolated showers and tstms N of 17N W of 79W.
5. ...ITCZ/Monsoon Trough... The Monsoon Trough extends across Africa into the east Tropical Atlantic near 14N17W and continues to 10N30W to 09N40W to 08N48W where the ITCZ begins and continues to Venezuela near 08N60W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves, numerous heavy showers are from 06N-11N between 26W and 38W.
4. Tropical Waves...
4a. A tropical wave is in the east Atlantic east of the Cape Verde Islands. The wave extends from 07N-15N with axis near 19W, moving W at 5 kt within the last 18 hours. The wave is associated with a 1011 mb low located near 10N19W and is being engulfed by Saharan dry air and dust, which have significantly reduced the convection associated with it. The CIRA LPW imagery show dry air from the surface to 850 mb in the northern wave environment, which is devoid of convection. A cluster of heavy showers is associated with the center of low pressure and extends from 08N-11N between 18W and 21W. Isolated showers are elsewhere from 07N-12N E of 23W. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves W or W-NW.
4b.A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 10N-20N with axis near 35W, moving at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. Meteosat composite imagery show Saharan dry air and dust in the wave environment. CIRA LPW imagery from the surface to 850 mb confirms dry air intrusion in the wave environment, which is keeping the wave devoid of convection.
4c. A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic from 08N-17N with axis near 46W, moving west at 15 kt within the last 24 hours. CIRA LPW imagery show mainly dry air from the surface to 850 mb associated with this wave. The dry air is due to the presence of abundant Saharan dry air and dust, which continue to hinder convection at the time.
4d. A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean from 12N-22N with axis near 81W, moving west at 25 kt within the last 24 hours. Aloft, water vapor imagery show strong dry subsidence across most of the SW Caribbean, which is inhibiting convection in that region of the wave. However, shallow moisture in the NW Caribbean and divergent flow aloft support isolated showers and tstms N of 17N W of 79W.
5. ...ITCZ/Monsoon Trough... The Monsoon Trough extends across Africa into the east Tropical Atlantic near 14N17W and continues to 10N30W to 09N40W to 08N48W where the ITCZ begins and continues to Venezuela near 08N60W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves, numerous heavy showers are from 06N-11N between 26W and 38W.
Fig 3
- Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and
Sun
high tide 3:584 am LT Sunrise – 5:28 am LT>70° East
low tide 10:45 am LT Sunset – 6:19 pm LT < 290° NW
high tide 5:30 pm LT Moon Rise – 00:34 pm LT<76° East
low tide 11:26 pm LT Moon Set – 01:36 am LT>286º West
low tide 10:45 am LT Sunset – 6:19 pm LT < 290° NW
high tide 5:30 pm LT Moon Rise – 00:34 pm LT<76° East
low tide 11:26 pm LT Moon Set – 01:36 am LT>286º West
Fig 4 - Moon
Day Light Hours: 12 hours, 51 minutes (-36s)
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