Thursday, June 23, 2016

Partly Sunny with Variable Winds

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164


Thursday,  June 23, 2016
Skies will be partly sunny. Winds will be variable in direction at 5 mph to 30 mph or higher. Seas will be  moderate to rough  at 1 ft to 4 ft or higher. There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours, through Friday.
The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.



The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Gulf of Mexico - High pressure across the northern waters will change little through Mon night. A thermal trough will move westward off the Yucatan Peninsula each evening...and move across the eastern part of the SW Gulf during the overnight hours and dissipate in the early morning hours.
2. Caribbean Sea - A tropical wave just E of the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize will move W of the basin this morning. In the wake of the wave...scattered to numerous showers and TSTMS will linger W of 82W through tonight. Fresh to strong trades across much of the central Caribbean will decrease in coverage today...then increase slightly in coverage late Thu night into Fri. This fluctuating trend in coverage will continue into early next week. NE to E swell will impact the SW and N central portions of the sea through the period.
3. Tropical Weather - Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave and a weak low pressure area. Development of this system is not expected today due to it moving over the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize later today. Some development of this system is possible on Friday if the system emerges over the Bay of Campeche before again moving inland on Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
4. Tropical Waves...
4a. Tropical wave in the west Tropical Atlantic extends from 11N51W to 3N48W moving west 15 to 20 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a low amplitude 700 mb trough noted in the global models and is embedded within a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water imagery. Clusters of scattered moderate to isolated strong convection are from 5N-10N between 48W-57W.
4b. Tropical wave moving over South America extends along 60W/61W south of 10N moving west 15 to 20 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave is embedded within a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water imagery. No associated deep convection.
4c. Tropical wave in the west Caribbean extends along 87W/88W from 21N to over Central America moving west-northwest near 15 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a 700 mb trough noted in the global models and is embedded within a broad area of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water imagery. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are south of 20N west of 83W to inland over Central America and the Yucatan peninsula.

Fig 3 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer
The Tides: Moon and Sun
low tide 5:00 am LT                                                                   Sunrise – 5:18 am LT>65° East
high tide 10:14 am LT                                                                Sunset – 6:21 pm LT < 295° NW
low tide 4:38pm LT                                                                    Moon Rise – 9:07 pm LT<104° East
high tide 11:26 pm LT                                                                Moon Set – 8:06 am LT>254º West

Fig 4 - Moon

Day Light Hours:  13 hours 3 minute (-2s)

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