The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Wednesday, November
05, 2014
Today, skies will be
mostly sunny. Winds will be light and ENE to NE in direction at 10
mph or less. Seas
will be calm at 1 to 3 feet. The air temperatures will range from the
mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC.
Ocean water temperatures are 78°F to 82°F or 22ºC to 25ºC.
Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of
Mexico:
1. A large area of disturbed weather extending
northward from the northeastern Caribbean Sea into the Atlantic
Ocean for several hundred miles is associated with a weak surface
trough and an upper-level low. A surface low pressure system could
form in this area later today or tomorrow, and it could briefly
acquire subtropical characteristics while moving northwestward.
After that time, development is not expected while the disturbance
moves north-northeastward and merges with a frontal zone. Regardless
of formation, locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding should
continue across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. The pressure gradient associated with high pressure
N of the area will support strong NE winds over much of the W
Caribbean through early this afternoon. Winds will diminish this
evening as the pres gradient slackens.
3. A cold front will reach the Texas coast Wed night
then advance across the W Gulf of Mexico Thu as strong high pres
builds behind it. The front will reach from Apalachee Bay, Florida
to the Yucatan Peninsula Thu evening...then begin to weaken as it
reaches from the Straits of Florida to NE Yucatan Peninsula
Fri...and move SE of the Gulf of Mexico Fri night into Sat as high
pres builds across the entire area through Sun.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
low tide 1:10 am LT Moon Rise –4:34 pm LT
high tide 7:44 am LT Moon Set –4:25 am LT
low tide 1:39 pm LT Sunrise – 5:46 am LT
high tide 7:15 pm LT Sunset – 5:16 pm LT
high tide 7:44 am LT Moon Set –4:25 am LT
low tide 1:39 pm LT Sunrise – 5:46 am LT
high tide 7:15 pm LT Sunset – 5:16 pm LT
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