The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Thursday, November
06, 2014
Today, skies will be
mostly sunny. Winds will be light and variable. in direction at 10
mph or less. Seas
will be calm at 1 to 3 feet. The air temperatures will range from the
mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to 26ºC.
Ocean water temperatures are 78°F to 82°F or 25ºC to 28ºC.
Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
 |
|
|
 |
|
Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
|
 |
The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of
Mexico:
1. A low pressure system located several hundred miles
southwest of Bermuda is producing disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. There is some potential for the low to
briefly acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics during the
next 24 hours while it moves generally north-northwestward. After
that time, the system is expected to be absorbed into a developing
non-tropical low over the western Atlantic. Regardless of formation,
locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding could continue across
Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic through this morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. A stationary front extends along the Texas coast to
a low pressure near 27N97W 1017 mb. The front will begin to move E
as a cold front later this morning...and reach from NE Florida SW to
26N90W to developing weak low pressure near 26N95W and SSW to 20N97W
by this evening. The front will then reach from near Sarasota,
Florida to 25N90W to a low pressure near 25N95W 1014 mb and the low
SSW to 20N96W early on Fri...and weaken as it stalls from the
Florida Keys to 25N90W to a low pressure near 25N95W 1014 mb Fri
evening. The low pressure will then track ENE along the boundary Sat
into early Sun pushing the front SE of the area. High pressure will
build across the area in the wake of the front.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
low tide 1:53 am LT Moon Rise –5:17 pm LT
high tide 8:31 am LT Moon Set –5:22 am LT
low tide 2:23 pm LT Sunrise – 5:45 am LT
high tide 7:57 pm LT Sunset – 5:13 pm LT
high tide 8:31 am LT Moon Set –5:22 am LT
low tide 2:23 pm LT Sunrise – 5:45 am LT
high tide 7:57 pm LT Sunset – 5:13 pm LT
No comments:
Post a Comment