The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather
forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to
the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N
Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com
, 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the
figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early
in the day and generally do not update the page until the next
morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get
the latest information.
This is not only convenient
but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and
hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right
column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's
weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for
your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook
and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this
hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for
your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical
Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily
tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts
near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to
develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air
Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21,
2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL,
a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the
formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it
decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm
formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50
percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a
near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal
season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June
1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms
(winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
(winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes
(Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or
below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and
three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The
Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
This
blog will resume on a regular basis on 141222 - Doc Radawski
Sunday, November
30, 2014
Skies will be partly
cloudy. Winds will be NE - ENE in direction at 5 mph to 15 mph today.
Seas
will be choppy at 2 to 4 feet or higher. The air temperatures will
range from the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or
24ºC to 26ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 78°F to 82°F or 25ºC
to 28ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
Every day this week there
is a chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms,
especially during the early morning, late night hours.
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Fig 19 - Recent changes in the
Saharan Air Layer
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The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North
Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Tropical cyclone formation
is not expected during the next 5 days. The hurricane season in
this hemisphere officially ends today.
2. A shear line extending from
the Windward Passage to NE Nicaragua will weaken by tonight. A
frontal system analyzed as a cold front in the W Atlantic and as a
weakening stationary front entering the Caribbean through the
Windward Passage near 20N74W to the coast of Honduras near 15N83W.
Isolated convection is within 50 nm of either side of the front.
Trade winds of 10-15 kt are prevailing across much of the rest of
the Caribbean basin. Over the next 24 hours...expect for the front
to continue weakening until dissipation is complete.
The next cold front moving
through E Texas Mon. The front will stall along the Texas coast by
Mon night then lift N Tue. Another weak front will move across the
far NE Gulf by late Wed.
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
high tide 4:19 am LT Moon Rise – 12:23 pm LT >090° E
low tide 10:22 am LT Moon Set – 12:23 pm LT >268° W
high tide 4:08 pm LT Sunrise – 5:58 am LT >112° SE
low tide 10:46 pm LT Sunset – 5:14 pm LT <248° W
low tide 10:22 am LT Moon Set – 12:23 pm LT >268° W
high tide 4:08 pm LT Sunrise – 5:58 am LT >112° SE
low tide 10:46 pm LT Sunset – 5:14 pm LT <248° W
