Friday, September 4, 2015

Again Partly Sunny with Moderate Winds and Seas

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Friday,  September 04, 2015
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be moderate and easterly in direction at 10 mph to15 mph this morning; increasing to 15 mph to 25 mph or higher this afternoon and evening. Seas will be choppy at 2 ft to 4ft.
The air temperatures will range from the low to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 28ºC.
There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms later this evening or early tomorrow morning.




Fig 2a – Today's Jetstream 

 
 






 










 


Fig 20 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer 



The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Fresh to strong trade winds will pulse across the S central Caribbean through the forecast period. A tropical wave will pass through the W Gulf of Honduras this morning. A second tropical wave will pass 55W tonight and enter the E Caribbean on Sat night.
2. Fred is continuing west-northwestward as a tropical storm.
3. A tropical wave is along the coast of Africa and is moving W at 15-20 kt. This system shows signs of organization and has the potential for some development. There is a medium (40%) chance of tropical storm formation over the next 48 hours. This tropical wave has been designated Invest 91L. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us.
Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
4. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has increased slightly in area. See Fig. 20.


Fig 22a - Active  Atlantic Ocean Tropical Waves  

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 23a - US Navy Fleet Weather Track and Forecast for TS Fred
Fig 23b - TS Fred Computer Models

Fig 23c - Invest 91L Computer Models


Results for Roatan, Bay Islands, Honduras (16.38N, 86.45W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 25.0N, 42.5W or about 2893.5 miles (4656.7 km) from your location. This is corresponding with the48 hour position of the 5-day forecast (Sunday, September 6 at 11:00AM AST).
Fig 23d - TS Fred CPA to Roatan


high tide 1:26 am LT                Sunrise – 5:35 am LT>82° East
low tide 8:24 am LT                 Sunset – 5:59 pm LT < 278° West
high tide 3:18 pm LT                Moon Rise – 11:10 pm LT> 72° East
low tide 9:31 pm LT                 Moon Set – 11:19 am LT < 287° West



No comments:

Post a Comment