Sunday, August 23, 2015

Partly Cloudy with Moderate Winds and Seas

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Sunday, August 23, 2015
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be mostly easterly in direction at 10 mph to 15 mph this morning or less; increasing to 15 mph to 20 mph this afternoon and evening or less. Seas will be choppy at 2 ft to 4 ft.
The air temperatures will range from the low to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 28ºC.
There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours.


 


Fig 2a – Today's Jetstream 








 














Fig 20 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer


The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Synopsis...Tropical Storm Danny will move across the northern tropical N Atlc today...and over or near the NE Caribbean Islands tonight through Mon...then near Puerto Rico Mon night into Tue... and near the Dominican Republic Tue.
2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a low pressure area located about 500 miles west of the Cape Verde
Islands. This system has been designated Invest 98L. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week while the wave moves quickly westward at around 20 mph. By late this week, atmospheric conditions could become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
3. A second tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa later today. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some development of this system this week while this disturbance moves westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean at 15 to 20
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should track this system as it moves west towards us.
2. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has increased slightly in density and decreased a little in area.


Fig 22a - Active  Atlantic Ocean Tropical Waves  

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability 
Fig 23a - TS Danny USNO Forecast and Track 
 





Fig 23b - TS Danny 5 Day Forecast Track 
 





Fig 23c - TS Danny Computer Models 
Fig 23d - TS Danny Distance from Roatan












Fig 23e - Invest 98L Track






Fig23f - Invest 98L Distance from Roatan






Fig23g - Invest 98L Computer Models 






Fig23h - Invest 98L Storm Statistics








high tide 3:11 am LT              Sunrise – 5:33 am LT>78° East

low tide 9:54 am LT               Sunset – 6:07 pm LT < 282° West

high tide 5:11 pm LT              Moon Rise – 12:45 am LT> 108° East

low tide 10:42 pm LT             Moon Set – 12:31 pm LT < 253° West


























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