Thursday, August 27, 2015

Again Mostly Sunny with Moderate Winds

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Thursday, August 27, 2015
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be light and easterly in direction at 10 mph this morning or less; increasing to 10 mph to 20 mph this afternoon and evening. Seas will be calm at 1 ft to 3ft.
The air temperatures will range from the low to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 28ºC.
There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially during the early morning, late night hours.




Fig 2a – Today's Jetstream 

 
 




















Fig 20 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer 



The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Synopsis..TS Erika near 16.8N 61.5W 1003 mb at 5 am EDT moving 280 deg at 14 kt. maximum sustained winds 45 kt gusts 55 kt. Erika will move to 17.6N 63.5W this afternoon ..19.0N 66.2W late tonight..20.3N 69.0W Fri afternoon...21.5N 71.6W late Fri night..24.0N 76.0W late Sat night..26.5N 78.5W late Sun night while strengthening to a hurricane. The remnants of Danny in the form of a trough will move across Cuba through Sat. Otherwise moderate to locally fresh trades will prevail...increasing to fresh to strong in the S central Caribbean Fri night through Sat night... diminishing Sun afternoon.
All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should track these  systems.
2. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has increased slightly in density and decreased slightly in area.


Fig 22a - Active  Atlantic Ocean Tropical Waves  

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability 
Fig 23a - TS Ericka Computer Models  
Results for Roatan, Bay Islands, Honduras (16.38N, 86.45W): The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 24.1N, 77.3W or about 797.0 miles (1282.7 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 3 days, 2 hours and 4 minutes from now (Sunday, August 30 at 1:06PM AST).
Fig 23b - TS Ericka CPA to Roatan 
Fig 23c - TS Ericka Distance from Roatan
low tide 12:35 am LT              Sunrise – 5:34 am LT>79° East
high tide 6:19 am LT               Sunset – 6:04 pm LT < 281° West
low tide 12:44 pm LT              Moon Rise – 4:21 pm LT> 105° East
high tide 7:11 pm LT               Moon Set – 3:14 am LT < 254° West




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