The
CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
NW Caribbean Sea
CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164
How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21, 2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL, a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.
2014 Hurricane Outlook and Forecasts
The hurricane season in this hemisphere starts on June 01 and ends on November 30.
During that time frame, for your convenience, you will find a section below titled, "Tropical Weather Outlook".
It will contain the daily tropical storm outlook, forecast and storm track(s).
NOAA predicts near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño is expected to develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones.
This year, the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has been decreasing in size and density since May 21, 2014. This is important because it has been postulated, that the SAL, a cool, dry, layer of air which contains particles, may inhibit the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. In addition, as it decreases in size and density, the probability of tropical storm formation may increase.
The outlook calls for a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These numbers are near or below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
Thursday, July 31, 2014
Today, skies will be mostly sunny.
Winds will be easterly in direction at 5 mph to 12 mph this morning;
increasing to 15 to 20 mph this afternoon and evening. Seas
will be moderate at 1 to 4 feet.
The air temperatures will range from
the mid to high 70s (ºF) to the mid to high 80s (ºF) or 24ºC to
26ºC.
Ocean water temperatures are 82°F to
84°F or 24ºC to 25ºC. Visibility is 20 to 80 ft.
 |
| Fig 7 - Today's Ocean Heat Content |
 |
| Fig 19 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer |
 |
| Fig 20 - SSMI/SSMIS/TMI-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic |
The Tropical Weather Outlook
A weak stationary front extends from just N of Naples, Florida
to near 24.5N86W to the NE Texas coastal waters...and will
drift S across the SE Gulf of Mexico today before stalling
tonight then shifting NW and gradually dissipating Friday
through Saturday.
Satellite data indicate that shower activity has increased a
little in association with a well-defined low pressure system
(Invest 93L) located about 850 miles east of the southern
Windward Islands. In addition, winds to near tropical storm
force are occurring over a small area just north of the center.
While environmental conditions are only marginally conducive
for development, any additional increase in organization could
lead to the formation of a tropical depression or tropical
storm during the next day or so. Interests in the Lesser
Antilles should monitor the progress of this system as it
moves west-northwestward near 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.
This low pressure system(Invest 93L) well E of the area near
11N50W moving W-NW near 16 kt., is expected to move through
the tropical N Atlantic waters N of 12N late tonight through
Friday evening...move across the Leeward Islands and extreme
NE Caribbean Friday night through Saturday morning...possibly
as a tropical cyclone...then across the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Saturday afternoon and night...before exiting to
the NW early Sun. Interests across this area should continue
to closely monitor this system.
An Air Force C-130 hurricane hunter aircraft will investigate 93L on
Thursday afternoon, and the NOAA Gulfstream IV jet is scheduled to fly a
dropsonde mission on Thursday afternoon around the storm.
Fig 21a - Graphical 5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 26 - Storm Statistics 93L
low tide 5:28 am LT
Moon Rise – 9:10 am LT
high tide 12:25 am LT
Moon Set –9:36 pm LT
low tide 5:45 pm LT
Sunrise – 5:28 am LT
high tide 11:15 pm LT
Sunset – 6:19 pm LT
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