Monday, August 31, 2015

Again Partly Sunny and Calm

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Monday, August 31, 2015
Skies will be partly cloudy. Again, winds will be light and variable in direction at 5 mph to10 mph today or less. Seas will be calm at 1 ft to 2ft.
The air temperatures will range from the low to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 28ºC.
There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. Expect winds and seas to increase in strength beginning tomorrow.




Fig 2a – Today's Jetstream 

 
 




















Fig 20 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer 



The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Fresh to strong trade winds will persist across the central Caribbean through early Wed as high pres remains N of area...then will diminish as the high pres shifts SE and weakens. A tropical wave along 73W will move W and across the W Carib tonight through Tue night. The next tropical wave along 58W will move across the Lesser Antilles this afternoon and into the Carib this evening then across the E Carib tonight through Tue...and across the central Carib Tue night and Wed...then across the W Carib Wed night through Thu night.
2. Hurricane Fred is bringing strong winds and heavy rains to the Cape Verde Islands.
3. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us. See Figs. 2 and 23b.
Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras.
4. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has increased slightly in area. See Figs. 18 and 20.



Fig 22a - Active  Atlantic Ocean Tropical Waves  

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability 
Fig 23a - Hurricane Fred Distance to Roatan
Fig 23b - Hurricane Fred US Navy Track and Forecast Track  
Results for Roatan, Bay Islands, Honduras (16.38N, 86.45W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 24.0N, 41.0W or about 2985.3 miles (4804.4 km) from your location. This is corresponding with the120 hour position of the 5-day forecast (Saturday, September 5 at 11:00AM AST).
Just for 'fun'... If the storm would continue on this track, the extrapolated closest point (X-CPA) is estimated at 38.4N, 74.6W or about 1678.5 miles (2701.2 km)from your location, where it can be in about 1 week, 6 days, 22 hours and 36 minutes from now (Monday, September 14 at 11:00AM AST, be aware that this location is not part of the official forecast and is prone to large errors).
 
Fig 23c - Hurricane Fred CPA to Roatan 
Fig 23d - Hurricane Fred Computer Models  
low tide 3:35 am LT              Sunrise – 5:34 am LT>81° East
high tide 9:54 am LT             Sunset – 6:02 pm LT < 279° West
low tide 3:55 pm LT              Moon Rise – 7:49 pm LT> 86° East
high tide 9:47 pm LT             Moon Set – 7:20 am LT < 271° West



Sunday, August 30, 2015

Again Mostly Sunny and Calm

The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
This weather forecast is intended for CoCoView Resort guests and applies only to the south side of Roatan
CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude
in the
   NW Caribbean Sea

             CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com , 800-510-8164

How to use this page:
The title of each of the figures below is linked to the page where the information originates.
Since I write and post early in the day and generally do not update the page until the next morning; by clicking on the link, it allows you, the viewer, to get the latest information.
This is not only convenient but allows you to track weather events such as cold fronts and hurricanes from a single web page.
In addition, in the right column is a very useful widget. It is a trip planner...yesteryear's weather at a glance.This widget lets you check historic weather for your trip dates.

Sunday, August 30, 2015
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be light and variable in direction at 5 mph to10 mph today or less. Seas will be calm at 1 ft to 2ft.
The air temperatures will range from the low to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 28ºC.
There is a very slight chance of scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms.


Fig 2a – Today's Jetstream





















Fig 20 - Recent changes in the Saharan Air Layer


The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. The remnants of tropical cyclone Erika are across the Straits of Florida and extreme S Florida early this morning...with an associated trough extending S into the NW Carib. High pres across the SW N Atlc along 68.5W is helping to produce strong tradewinds across most of the central Carib this morning. As the remnant trough of Erika shifts NW and out of the area this afternoon through tonight...winds will begin to diminish slightly across the central Carib...then more significantly throughout the upcoming week. A tropical wave along 65W will continue W and move across the central Carib tonight through Mon night then across the W Carib Tue through Wed.
2. TD Six, formerly Invest 99L  was upgraded to TS Fred at 30/0900 UTC. TS Fred is centered near 12.9N 19.3W or about 272 nm E-SE of Praia in the Cape Verde Islands moving NW at 10 kt.
3. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the North Coast of Honduras should monitor this system closely as it tracks westward toward us.
Currently this system does not pose a threat to the Bay Islands and north coast of Honduras. But all interests here should monitor this system as it moves west towards us.
3. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) has increased slightly in both density and area.


Fig 22a - Active  Atlantic Ocean Tropical Waves  

Fig 23 - 48 Hour Tropical Storm Probability
Fig 23a - TS Fred Computer Models 
Fig 23b - TS Fred distance from Roatan


low tide 2:45 am LT              Sunrise – 5:34 am LT>80° East
high tide 8:53 am LT             Sunset – 6:02 pm LT < 279° West
low tide 3:02 pm LT              Moon Rise – 6:58 pm LT> 92° East
high tide 9:02 pm LT             Moon Set – 6:18 am LT < 266° West